Kilmarnock 4–3 St. Mirren
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 2.7 – 1.9
- Goals
- 4 – 3
Footybot made Kilmarnock favourites at 45%.
Kilmarnock won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 1.9.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tyreece John-Jules, 64.4 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Tyreece John-Jules +22.4, Killian Phillips +12.6.
Well below it: Jayden Richardson −19.9, Shamal George −16.4, Richard King −13.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Kilmarnock
| 4 Feb 2026 | L 1–5 | at Rangers |
| 31 Jan 2026 | W 3–0 | v Aberdeen |
| 24 Jan 2026 | L 0–4 | at Motherwell |
| 10 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Livingston |
| 3 Jan 2026 | L 1–3 | v Hibernian |
St. Mirren
| 3 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | v Heart of Midlothian |
| 31 Jan 2026 | D 0–0 | v Dundee FC |
| 20 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Livingston |
| 14 Jan 2026 | L 0–2 | at Heart of Midlothian |
| 10 Jan 2026 | L 0–2 | v Falkirk FC |
Head to head
| 27 Dec 2025 | St. Mirren 0–0 Kilmarnock |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Kilmarnock 2–0 St. Mirren |
Kilmarnock
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreece John-Jules | 90 | 64.4 | +22.4 |
| Findlay Curtis | 79 | 51.6 | +3.7 |
| Aaron Tshibola | 25 | 48.7 | – |
| Bradley Lyons | 65 | 47.7 | +7.9 |
| Kelle Roos | 90 | 45.7 | −1.8 |
| Ethan Brown | 90 | 44.3 | +1.9 |
| Rory McKenzie | 10 | 37.0 | – |
| Joe Hugill | 25 | 35.7 | – |
| Bruce Anderson | 65 | 35.1 | −4.4 |
| Liam Polworth | 84 | 34.6 | −1.4 |
| Greg Kiltie | 90 | 32.5 | −9.5 |
| David Watson | 80 | 32.4 | −3.3 |
| Robbie Deas | 90 | 31.3 | −7.8 |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen | 90 | 29.7 | −10.2 |
| Jamie Brandon | 11 | 24.2 | – |
| Jack Thomson | 10 | 22.2 | – |
St. Mirren
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Tanser | 10 | 100.0 | – |
| Killian Phillips | 84 | 47.1 | +12.6 |
| Jalmaro Calvin | 10 | 41.9 | – |
| Alexander Gogić | 90 | 41.8 | +5.9 |
| Miguel Freckleton | 90 | 39.6 | −1.7 |
| Mikael Mandron | 90 | 38.5 | −3.9 |
| Conor McMenamin | 10 | 37.2 | – |
| Shamal George | 90 | 35.9 | −16.4 |
| Jacob Devaney | 90 | 35.1 | – |
| Roland Idowu | 84 | 32.4 | −0.8 |
| Dan N'Lundulu | 45 | 32.1 | −6.7 |
| Marcus Fraser | 90 | 32.0 | −1.4 |
| Declan John | 84 | 31.4 | −10.5 |
| Richard King | 90 | 23.0 | −13.3 |
| Jayden Richardson | 45 | 15.4 | −19.9 |