Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.2 – 2.2
- Actual xG
- 0.9 – 2.8
- Goals
- 2 – 3
Footybot made Celtic favourites at 60%.
Celtic won and made the better chances: 2.8 xG to 0.9.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joe Hugill, 52.7 in 79′.
Well above their usual level: Dominic Thompson +17.7.
Well below it: Findlay Curtis −14.6, Robbie Deas −8.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Kilmarnock
| 11 Feb 2026 | W 4–3 | v St. Mirren |
| 4 Feb 2026 | L 1–5 | at Rangers |
| 31 Jan 2026 | W 3–0 | v Aberdeen |
| 24 Jan 2026 | L 0–4 | at Motherwell |
| 10 Jan 2026 | D 1–1 | at Livingston |
Celtic
| 11 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | v Livingston |
| 1 Feb 2026 | W 2–0 | v Falkirk FC |
| 29 Jan 2026 | W 4–2 | v FC Utrecht |
| 25 Jan 2026 | D 2–2 | at Heart of Midlothian |
| 22 Jan 2026 | D 2–2 | at Bologna |
Head to head
| 9 Nov 2025 | Celtic 4–0 Kilmarnock |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic |
Kilmarnock
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Hugill | 79 | 52.7 | – |
| Marcus Dackers | 8 | 51.8 | – |
| Kelle Roos | 90 | 50.2 | +3.1 |
| Tyreece John-Jules | 82 | 49.1 | +4.1 |
| Dominic Thompson | 90 | 47.5 | +17.7 |
| Ethan Brown | 90 | 43.0 | +1.3 |
| Bradley Lyons | 90 | 42.8 | +2.4 |
| David Watson | 79 | 39.8 | +3.9 |
| Greg Kiltie | 79 | 38.6 | −1.7 |
| Aaron Tshibola | 27 | 35.1 | – |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen | 90 | 34.3 | −4.2 |
| Findlay Curtis | 63 | 33.9 | −14.6 |
| Bruce Anderson | 11 | 33.4 | – |
| Robbie Deas | 90 | 30.6 | −8.2 |
| Jack Thomson | 11 | 25.4 | – |
| Liam Polworth | 11 | 23.4 | – |
Celtic
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasper Schmeichel | 90 | 52.7 | +1.0 |
| Sebastian Tounekti | 45 | 52.5 | +7.8 |
| Benjamin Nygren | 90 | 50.2 | +0.8 |
| Liam Scales | 90 | 47.6 | −3.7 |
| Callum McGregor | 90 | 46.9 | +1.5 |
| Auston Trusty | 90 | 44.8 | −5.4 |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | 45 | 42.8 | +2.0 |
| James Forrest | 28 | 42.0 | – |
| Julián Araujo | 90 | 41.3 | +5.3 |
| Junior Adamu | 45 | 41.2 | −4.6 |
| Daizen Maeda | 62 | 35.9 | −5.1 |
| Kieran Tierney | 78 | 35.6 | −3.6 |
| Reo Hatate | 45 | 35.3 | −7.2 |
| Tomáš Čvančara | 45 | 32.7 | −7.8 |
| Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain | 45 | 26.1 | – |
| Marcelo Saracchi | 12 | 4.7 | – |