Daniel Karlsbakk

Forward · Sarpsborg 08 · 23 · Norway

Compare with others

Season score: 42.1; Eliteserien 2026, 24 matches
Last 5 weeks: 37.3; average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value: €4.5M; −€500k (−10%) since 15 Dec 2025; Transfermarkt, 28 May 2026

Born: 7 Apr 2003
Height: 186 cm
Foot: R
Contract until: 31 Dec 2029
Wikipedia views: 453 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

41 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 43.5 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

Form bars show the weekly score: no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table

Week	Matches	Minutes	Score	Expected	Underlying
20–26 Oct 2026	1	90	35.4	44.6	40.1
13–19 Oct 2026	1	90	36.4	44.9	36.4
6–12 Oct 2026	1	90	36.0	45.3	39.2
15–21 Sep 2026	1	90	46.1	45.1	47.4
8–14 Sep 2026	1	90	32.4	45.8	30.6
1–7 Sep 2026	1	90	32.6	46.4	37.6
25–31 Aug 2026	1	90	37.8	46.9	36.6
11–17 Aug 2026	1	90	48.5	46.7	47.7
4–10 Aug 2026	1	90	53.7	46.1	59.4
28 Jul – 3 Aug 2026	1	90	49.7	45.8	41.5
21–27 Jul 2026	1	84	38.9	46.1	39.9
14–20 Jul 2026	1	90	41.4	46.2	45.9
7–13 Jul 2026	1	83	52.4	45.8	44.4
26 May – 1 Jun 2026	1	88	42.0	45.9	43.0
19–25 May 2026	1	88	47.9	45.6	45.4
12–18 May 2026	1	83	46.7	45.4	39.7
5–11 May 2026	1	86	35.6	45.9	34.1
28 Apr – 4 May 2026	1	90	38.1	46.2	37.4
21–27 Apr 2026	1	90	50.8	45.8	65.5
14–20 Apr 2026	2	180	39.4	46.3	40.8
7–13 Apr 2026	1	90	39.2	46.8	38.1
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026	1	90	40.7	47.0	45.8
17–23 Mar 2026	1	80	51.0	46.7	52.2
25 Nov – 1 Dec 2025	1	74	41.7	46.9	41.8
18–24 Nov 2025	1	90	50.4	46.5	49.9
4–10 Nov 2025	1	90	39.7	46.9	42.3
21–27 Oct 2025	1	90	53.1	46.4	53.3
14–20 Oct 2025	1	76	51.8	45.9	57.5
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025	1	90	40.1	46.2	41.2
23–29 Sep 2025	1	90	37.6	46.6	37.2
16–22 Sep 2025	1	90	36.7	47.2	40.1
9–15 Sep 2025	1	89	50.2	46.9	49.2
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025	1	60	53.7	46.5	54.3
19–25 Aug 2025	1	76	33.4	47.2	31.7
12–18 Aug 2025	1	90	40.7	47.5	39.8
5–11 Aug 2025	1	79	30.2	48.5	28.2
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2025	1	90	41.8	49.0	43.7
22–28 Jul 2025	1	90	61.5	48.0	59.7
15–21 Jul 2025	1	90	49.0	47.8	49.6
8–14 Jul 2025	1	90	39.2	48.4	44.9
1–7 Jul 2025	1	90	64.8	47.0	47.2

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: −4.9 a week below expectation.

Market value

Where these come from

Transfermarkt €4.5M −€500k (−10%) since 15 Dec 2025 28 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year

Current estimate €4.8M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh

Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €3.2M–€7.4M −3% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +13% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Dirk Wanner Proper at 23 (€4.0M, scoring 41.6) −63%; Bryan Reynolds at 23 (€3.5M, scoring 42.2) +0%; Oliver Christensen at 24 (€4.5M, scoring 41.4) −33%.

Every value as a table

Date	Source	Value
22 Oct 2026	Current estimate (BSD)	€4.8M
28 May 2026	Transfermarkt	€4.5M
15 Dec 2025	Transfermarkt	€5.0M
8 Sep 2025	Transfermarkt	€3.0M
18 Jun 2025	Transfermarkt	€2.5M
17 Dec 2024	Transfermarkt	€800k
31 May 2024	Transfermarkt	€900k
15 Dec 2023	Transfermarkt	€1.0M
17 Oct 2023	Transfermarkt	€1.5M
23 Jun 2023	Transfermarkt	€2.0M
17 Mar 2023	Transfermarkt	€2.5M
9 Dec 2022	Transfermarkt	€750k
3 Jan 2022	Transfermarkt	€500k
31 Dec 2020	Transfermarkt	€200k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers

Date	Move	Fee
30 Jan 2025	Heerenveen Sarpsborg 08	€500k
11 Aug 2024	Viking FK SC Heerenveen	First match
31 Jan 2023	Viking FK Heerenveen	€2.3M
8 Jan 2022	Bryne Viking FK	Free or loan

What the score is made of

Eliteserien 2026, 2,122 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 295 top-five-league forward seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

As a table

Part	Percentile	Per 90 vs average
Shooting	47	−0.05
Creating	18	−0.36
Progressing	4	−0.45
Keeping the ball	0	−1.35
Defending	1	−0.37
Aerial	65	+0.14
Finishing	7	−0.31

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level

Player	Recent score	Value now	Likeness
Nökkvi Þórisson SC Telstar · 27 · cheaper	37.9	€400k	97%Compare
Daniel Musovski Seattle Sounders FC · 30 · cheaper	38.3	€2.5M	97%Compare
Henk Veerman FC Volendam · 35	–	–	96%Compare
Kasper Dolberg AFC Ajax · 29	39.3	€7.0M	95%Compare
Ivan Azón Getafe · 23	44.9	€7.5M	93%Compare
Max Watters Port Vale · 27	–	–	92%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Daniel Karlsbakk.

Seasons

Season	Competition	Team	Matches	Minutes	Score	Underlying
Eliteserien 2026	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	24	2,122	42.1	42.9
Eliteserien 2025	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08	28	2,361	45.7	44.8
Eredivisie 24/25	Eredivisie	SC Heerenveen	7	270	39.8	40.6

Latest matches

42 since July 2025

Date	Competition	Opponent	Result	Min	Goals	Assists	xG	xA	Score
25 Oct 2026	Eliteserien	Aalesunds FK	W 2–1	90	0	1	0.61	0.07	35.4
18 Oct 2026	Eliteserien	Rosenborg BK	L 0–3	90	0	0	0.13	0.05	36.4
11 Oct 2026	Eliteserien	at Aalesunds FK	W 4–2	90	0	0	0.45	0.01	36.0
18 Sep 2026	Eliteserien	KFUM Oslo	L 1–3	90	1	0	1.17	0.01	46.1
13 Sep 2026	Eliteserien	at Fredrikstad FK	D 1–1	90	0	0	–	0.10	32.4
6 Sep 2026	Eliteserien	Vålerenga IF	D 2–2	90	0	0	0.67	0.01	32.6
30 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	at Tromsø IL	D 0–0	90	0	0	–	0.03	37.8
16 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	Sandefjord Fotball	L 1–2	90	1	0	0.94	0.01	48.5
8 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	at Viking FK	L 1–2	90	0	0	0.54	0.11	53.7
2 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	at Molde FK	D 3–3	90	1	0	0.20	0.01	49.7

All 42 matches

Date	Competition	Opponent	Result	Min	Goals	Assists	xG	xA	Score
25 Oct 2026	Eliteserien	Aalesunds FK	W 2–1	90	0	1	0.61	0.07	35.4
18 Oct 2026	Eliteserien	Rosenborg BK	L 0–3	90	0	0	0.13	0.05	36.4
11 Oct 2026	Eliteserien	at Aalesunds FK	W 4–2	90	0	0	0.45	0.01	36.0
18 Sep 2026	Eliteserien	KFUM Oslo	L 1–3	90	1	0	1.17	0.01	46.1
13 Sep 2026	Eliteserien	at Fredrikstad FK	D 1–1	90	0	0	–	0.10	32.4
6 Sep 2026	Eliteserien	Vålerenga IF	D 2–2	90	0	0	0.67	0.01	32.6
30 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	at Tromsø IL	D 0–0	90	0	0	–	0.03	37.8
16 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	Sandefjord Fotball	L 1–2	90	1	0	0.94	0.01	48.5
8 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	at Viking FK	L 1–2	90	0	0	0.54	0.11	53.7
2 Aug 2026	Eliteserien	at Molde FK	D 3–3	90	1	0	0.20	0.01	49.7
26 Jul 2026	Eliteserien	HamKam	W 1–0	84	0	0	0.19	0.64	38.9
18 Jul 2026	Eliteserien	at Kristiansund BK	D 0–0	90	0	0	0.54	0.01	41.4
12 Jul 2026	Eliteserien	Viking FK	W 1–0	83	1	0	0.25	0.01	52.4
29 May 2026	Eliteserien	at SK Brann	W 2–1	88	0	0	0.18	0.08	42.0
25 May 2026	Eliteserien	Molde FK	W 2–1	88	1	0	0.79	0.02	47.9
16 May 2026	Eliteserien	at Vålerenga IF	L 2–3	83	1	0	0.40	0.02	46.7
9 May 2026	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad FK	W 2–1	86	0	0	–	0.02	35.6
3 May 2026	Eliteserien	at Lillestrøm SK	L 0–4	90	0	0	0.05	0.01	38.1
26 Apr 2026	Eliteserien	at KFUM Oslo	L 0–1	90	0	0	1.45	0.04	50.8
19 Apr 2026	Eliteserien	Tromsø IL	L 0–1	90	0	0	0.14	0.00	36.6
15 Apr 2026	Eliteserien	Bodø/Glimt	D 1–1	90	0	0	0.34	0.05	42.3
12 Apr 2026	Eliteserien	at Rosenborg BK	L 1–2	90	0	0	–	0.17	39.2
6 Apr 2026	Eliteserien	IK Start	D 1–1	90	0	0	0.61	0.24	40.7
22 Mar 2026	Eliteserien	at Sandefjord Fotball	W 2–0	80	1	0	1.10	0.01	51.0
30 Nov 2025	Eliteserien	Molde FK	W 1–0	74	0	0	0.08	0.28	41.7
23 Nov 2025	Eliteserien	at Bryne FK	W 3–0	90	1	0	0.95	0.06	50.4
8 Nov 2025	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad FK	L 0–2	90	0	0	0.36	0.18	39.7
25 Oct 2025	Eliteserien	KFUM Oslo	W 2–1	90	1	0	1.00	0.01	53.1
18 Oct 2025	Eliteserien	Bodø/Glimt	L 2–5	76	1	0	1.47	0.07	51.8
5 Oct 2025	Eliteserien	at Rosenborg BK	W 3–2	90	0	0	0.21	0.02	40.1
27 Sep 2025	Eliteserien	Viking FK	D 3–3	90	0	0	0.08	0.00	37.6
21 Sep 2025	Eliteserien	at Strømsgodset	L 1–2	90	0	0	0.46	0.04	36.7
14 Sep 2025	Eliteserien	Sandefjord Fotball	W 2–1	89	1	0	0.91	0.00	50.2
31 Aug 2025	Eliteserien	at HamKam	W 3–1	60	1	0	1.02	0.17	53.7
25 Aug 2025	Eliteserien	Kristiansund BK	L 0–1	76	0	0	–	0.06	33.4
17 Aug 2025	Eliteserien	at Vålerenga IF	L 0–4	90	0	0	–	0.08	40.7
10 Aug 2025	Eliteserien	at Haugesund	L 2–3	79	0	0	–	0.00	30.2
2 Aug 2025	Eliteserien	SK Brann	L 1–4	90	0	0	0.27	0.00	41.8
26 Jul 2025	Eliteserien	at Sandefjord Fotball	L 2–3	90	2	0	1.72	0.04	61.5
18 Jul 2025	Eliteserien	Rosenborg BK	D 2–2	90	1	0	1.08	0.01	49.0
13 Jul 2025	Eliteserien	at Kristiansund BK	D 0–0	90	0	0	0.68	0.28	39.2
6 Jul 2025	Eliteserien	Haugesund	W 3–1	90	3	0	1.12	0.07	64.8