UEFA Champions League 25/26, Round of 16 · 10 Mar 2026

Atalanta 1–6 FC Bayern München

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 6.7 xG · Standout: Raoul Bellanova scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 46%.

FC Bayern München won and made the better chances: 4.6 xG to 2.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Michael Olise, 88.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Serge Gnabry +30.5, Michael Olise +27.6, Jamal Musiala +18.4.

Well below it: Marco Carnesecchi −23.2, Isak Hien −18.7, Nicola Zalewski −14.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Mar 2026	D 2–2	v Udinese Serie A
1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Sassuolo Serie A
25 Feb 2026	W 4–1	v Borussia Dortmund Champions League
22 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v SSC Napoli Serie A
17 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at Borussia Dortmund Champions League

6 Mar 2026	W 4–1	v Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026	W 3–2	at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026	W 3–0	at SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026	W 5–1	v TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder	23	0	–	100.0	–
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder	67	0	–	62.5	+11.8
Berat Djimsiti Defender	45	0	0.03	58.8	+8.1
Yunus Musah Midfielder	35	0	0.05	56.3	–
Mario Pašalić Midfielder	90	1	1.05	55.8	+2.8
Sead Kolašinac Defender	55	0	–	50.0	−1.6
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder	90	0	–	49.0	+1.3
Nikola Krstović Forward	90	0	0.53	46.3	−5.7
Gianluca Scamacca Forward	45	0	0.26	43.6	−7.7
Marten de Roon Midfielder	90	0	–	43.4	−6.5
Kamaldeen Sulemana Forward	73	0	–	42.3	−6.3
Honest Ahanor Defender	35	0	–	41.6	–
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder	17	0	0.12	40.6	–
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder	55	0	0.04	34.6	−14.6
Isak Hien Defender	90	0	–	34.5	−18.7
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper	90	0	–	27.2	−23.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Michael Olise Midfielder	90	2	1	0.41	88.4	+27.6
Serge Gnabry Midfielder	45	1	1	0.77	86.3	+30.5
Luis Díaz Midfielder	90	0	1	0.27	74.0	+11.8
Konrad Laimer Defender	45	0	0	–	71.3	+16.9
Josip Stanišić Defender	86	1	0	0.91	70.7	+17.1
Jamal Musiala Midfielder	45	1	0	0.88	67.5	+18.4
Nicolas Jackson Forward	90	1	1	0.80	64.3	+12.6
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder	90	0	0	0.36	60.1	−1.0
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder	68	0	0	0.06	58.5	+2.9
Dayot Upamecano Defender	90	0	1	0.12	55.8	+0.6
Jonathan Tah Defender	90	0	0	–	54.5	−3.0
Leon Goretzka Midfielder	22	0	0	–	51.7	–
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.7	−0.8
Tom Bischof Midfielder	19	0	0	–	48.2	–
Raphaël Guerreiro Defender	9	0	0	–	42.7	–
Alphonso Davies Defender	26	0	1	–	38.3	–