FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Conference League 25/26, Round of 16 · 19 Mar 2026

AEK Larnaca 1–2 Crystal Palace

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.0 – 1.4
Actual xG
0.2 – 3.6
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Crystal Palace favourites at 46%.

Crystal Palace won and made the better chances: 3.6 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Daniel Muñoz, 71.7 in 60′.

Well above their usual level: Ismaïla Sarr +21.6, Daniel Muñoz +20.9, Daichi Kamada +14.2.

Well below it: Gus Ledes −14.4, Hrvoje Miličević −11.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

AEK Larnaca

12 Mar 2026D 0–0at Crystal Palace Conference League
18 Dec 2025W 1–0v KF Shkëndija Conference League
11 Dec 2025D 1–1at BK Häcken Conference League
27 Nov 2025D 0–0at HNK Rijeka Conference League
6 Nov 2025D 0–0v Aberdeen Conference League

Crystal Palace

15 Mar 2026D 0–0v Leeds United Premier League
12 Mar 2026D 0–0v AEK Larnaca Conference League
5 Mar 2026W 3–1at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
1 Mar 2026L 1–2at Manchester United Premier League
26 Feb 2026W 2–0v HŠK Zrinjski Mostar Conference League

Head to head

12 Mar 2026Crystal Palace 0–0 AEK Larnaca Conference League
23 Oct 2025Crystal Palace 0–1 AEK Larnaca Conference League

AEK Larnaca

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Riad Bajić Forward76000.0448.5+2.3
Đorđe Ivanović Midfielder79000.0543.1+4.0
Hrvoje Miličević Defender12000–43.0−11.7
Enzo Cabrera Forward3600–42.6–
Chambos Kyriakou Midfielder3100–42.5–
Robert Mudražija Midfielder1500–41.4–
Godswill Ekpolo Defender12000–40.3−6.8
Enric Saborit Defender73100.0939.2−4.3
Gus Ledes Midfielder12000–37.9−14.4
Petros Ioannou Defender12000–33.7–

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Will Hughes Midfielder100–100.0–
Yéremy Pino Forward44000.2883.3–
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder60000.1771.7+20.9
Ismaïla Sarr Forward120202.0471.1+21.6
Daichi Kamada Midfielder120010.0365.3+14.2
Jaydee Canvot Defender8300–62.8+8.6
Maxence Lacroix Defender120000.2558.6−0.5
Chris Richards Defender76000.1056.4+1.4
Adam Wharton Midfielder119000.2051.2+6.4
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder4400–47.7–
Brennan Johnson Forward6000–46.8+0.5
Walter Benítez Goalkeeper12000–46.6−4.1
Jean-Philippe Mateta Forward3700–44.7–
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder120000.0843.8−4.0
Jørgen Strand Larsen Forward120000.4842.9−3.7
Evann Guessand Forward7600–42.9−4.2