FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premiership 25/26 · 4 Apr 2026

Hibernian 3–0 Kilmarnock

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.5 – 0.8
Actual xG
2.1 – 0.6
Goals
3 – 0

Footybot made Hibernian favourites at 75%.

Hibernian won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Raphael Sallinger, 60.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Michael Schjønning-Larsen +14.8, Raphael Sallinger +11.5, Aaron Tshibola +9.6.

Well below it: Daniel Barlaser −24.5, Kelle Roos −21.0, Jamie McGrath −13.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Hibernian

21 Mar 2026D 0–0at Motherwell Scottish Premiership
14 Mar 2026D 0–0v Livingston Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026D 3–3at Dundee FC Scottish Premiership
22 Feb 2026W 2–1at Celtic Scottish Premiership
14 Feb 2026W 2–0v St. Mirren Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

21 Mar 2026W 2–0v Livingston Scottish Premiership
14 Mar 2026W 1–0v Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership
28 Feb 2026L 1–5at Falkirk FC Scottish Premiership
21 Feb 2026D 1–1at Dundee United Scottish Premiership
15 Feb 2026L 2–3v Celtic Scottish Premiership

Head to head

3 Jan 2026Kilmarnock 1–3 Hibernian Scottish Premiership
10 Aug 2025Hibernian 2–2 Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership

Hibernian

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Martin Boyle Forward201–100.0–
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper9000–60.3+11.5
Ante Šuto Forward26100.4359.7–
Owen Elding Forward88100.7045.4+1.4
Felix Passlack Midfielder90110.9642.7+3.5
Joe Newell Midfielder2600–41.8–
Miguel Changa Chaiwa Midfielder7300–39.8+0.8
Warren O'Hora Defender9000–39.5−8.5
Grant Hanley Defender9000–37.6−8.4
Jamie McGrath Midfielder88000.0331.4−13.4
Dane Scarlett Forward64000.0329.9−5.6
Jordan Obita Defender9001–28.4−10.8
Jack Iredale Defender9000–25.6−12.7
Kai Andrews Midfielder1700–24.9–
Daniel Barlaser Midfielder6400–17.3−24.5
Josh Campbell Midfielder200–0.0–

Kilmarnock

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Aaron Tshibola Midfielder8100–48.1+9.6
Jack Thomson Midfielder9000.0246.7–
Michael Schjønning-Larsen Defender90000.0545.7+14.8
George Stanger Defender9000–44.5+4.1
Robbie Deas Defender9000–43.1+5.8
Findlay Curtis Midfielder81000.2340.7−3.4
Joe Hugill Forward90000.1939.9−3.8
Bruce Anderson Forward900–39.7–
Marley Watkins Forward2800–37.5–
Liam Polworth Midfielder6200–36.6−0.4
Jamie Brandon Defender7100–35.7+3.4
Greg Kiltie Midfielder90000.1135.1−6.1
Bradley Lyons Midfielder62000.0232.9−10.5
David Watson Midfielder2800–31.4–
Kelle Roos Goalkeeper9000–29.0−21.0
Dominic Thompson Defender1900–27.1–