Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 30 Oct 2025

Al-Ahli 1–1 Al-Riyadh

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Al-Ahli favourites at 64%.

Al-Ahli deserved more from the draw, creating 2.5 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tozé, 67.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Tozé +19.9, Milan Borjan +15.7.

Well below it: Merih Demiral −17.7, Riyad Mahrez −12.8, Firas Al-Buraikan −11.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

23 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Najma SC Saudi Pro League
17 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Al-Shabab Saudi Pro League
26 Sep 2025	W 2–0	at Al-Hazem Saudi Pro League
19 Sep 2025	D 3–3	v Al-Hilal Saudi Pro League
12 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Al-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League

23 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League
19 Oct 2025	L 1–4	at Al-Khaleej Saudi Pro League
27 Sep 2025	L 2–3	v Neom SC Saudi Pro League
20 Sep 2025	L 1–5	at Al-Nassr Saudi Pro League
14 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v Al-Najma SC Saudi Pro League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Edouard Mendy Goalkeeper	90	0	–	47.5	−1.0
Matheus Gonçalves Midfielder	77	0	0.08	46.1	+5.0
Ivan Toney Forward	90	1	0.91	44.7	−4.6
Roger Ibañez Defender	90	0	0.32	44.0	−0.6
Riyad Mahrez Midfielder	90	0	0.15	39.6	−12.8
Firas Al-Buraikan Forward	90	0	0.36	38.3	−11.0
Franck Kessié Midfielder	90	0	0.07	37.6	−4.2
Ali Majrashi Defender	82	0	–	37.6	−9.7
Mohammed Abdulrahman Defender	82	0	0.39	37.4	–
Merih Demiral Defender	90	0	0.04	37.0	−17.7
Ziyad Aljohani Midfielder	20	0	–	36.9	–
Enzo Millot Midfielder	89	0	0.03	35.6	−7.7
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Forward	13	0	0.12	30.4	–
Abdulelah Al Khaibari Defender	17	0	–	26.1	–
Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor Defender	8	0	0.06	15.4	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Tozé Midfielder	90	1	0.79	67.5	+19.9
Milan Borjan Goalkeeper	90	0	–	56.6	+15.7
Mamadou Sylla Forward	24	0	0.04	52.2	–
Yoann Barbet Defender	90	0	0.13	48.2	+7.7
Teddy Okou Midfielder	24	0	0.04	47.8	–
Sergio González Defender	90	0	–	41.7	+0.3
Mohammed Al-Khaibari Defender	90	0	–	40.8	–
Marzouq Tambakti Defender	90	0	–	38.9	–
Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi Defender	84	0	–	38.3	+2.0
Yahya Al Shehri Midfielder	66	0	–	36.8	–
Talal Haji Forward	66	0	–	36.6	–
Khalil Al-Absi Forward	12	0	–	36.3	–
Abdullah Hassoun Defender	77	0	–	36.2	–
Muhammad Sahlouli Midfielder	78	0	–	34.5	−1.2
Osama Al-Boardi Defender	13	0	–	34.0	–
Ammar Al Harfi Defender	28	0	–	33.1	–