Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 17 Jan 2026

Al-Nassr 3–2 Al-Shabab

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Al-Nassr favourites at 80%.

Al-Nassr won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mohamed Simakan, 54.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Hammam Al-Hammami +16.3, Carlos Junior +12.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

12 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Al-Hilal Saudi Pro League
8 Jan 2026	L 1–2	v Al-Qadsiah Saudi Pro League
2 Jan 2026	L 2–3	at Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Al-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v Al-Okhdood Saudi Pro League

14 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Neom SC Saudi Pro League
9 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Al-Taawoun Saudi Pro League
3 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Al-Fateh Saudi Pro League
31 Dec 2025	L 2–3	v Al-Qadsiah Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nader Al Sharari Defender	1	0	0	–	88.0	–
Abdulrahman Ghareeb Midfielder	25	1	0	0.12	72.1	–
Mohamed Simakan Defender	90	0	0	1.09	54.5	+6.9
João Félix Forward	90	0	0	0.02	52.3	−4.2
Kingsley Coman Midfielder	90	1	0	0.45	47.6	−1.5
Ali Al-Hassan Midfielder	1	0	0	–	47.6	–
Iñigo Martínez Defender	90	0	0	–	47.0	+1.7
Bento Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.7	–
Abdullah Al-Khaibari Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.5	−4.7
Ângelo Midfielder	89	0	0	0.08	44.3	−5.0
Wesley Midfielder	65	0	1	0.17	44.1	−1.9
Nawaf Boushal Defender	65	0	0	–	41.8	−6.6
Sultan Al-Ghannam Defender	89	0	0	0.02	40.5	−8.1
Cristiano Ronaldo Forward	90	0	0	0.20	38.7	−18.7
Saad Al-Nasser Defender	25	0	0	–	38.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nawaf Al Sadi Midfielder	14	0	0	–	88.5	–
Carlos Junior Forward	84	1	0	0.45	53.7	+12.5
Ali Makki Defender	13	0	0	–	53.2	–
Hammam Al-Hammami Midfielder	72	0	0	–	49.8	+16.3
Yannick Carrasco Midfielder	90	0	1	0.11	48.8	−4.3
Unai Hernández Midfielder	84	0	0	–	45.7	+6.4
Josh Brownhill Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	45.0	−0.6
Saad Yaslam Balobaid Defender	90	0	0	0.54	44.9	+3.5
Marcelo Grohe Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.5	−3.1
Yacine Adli Midfielder	83	0	0	0.04	43.2	+0.4
Abdulaziz Al-Othman Forward	14	0	0	0.04	43.2	–
Faisal Al-Sibyani Midfielder	18	0	0	–	39.6	–
Wesley Hoedt Defender	90	0	0	–	39.5	−3.1
Mohammed Al-Thani Defender	83	0	0	–	36.0	–
Mohammed Al Shwirekh Defender	13	0	0	–	35.9	–
Vincent Sierro Midfielder	67	0	0	–	29.9	−15.4