Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 2 Jan 2026

Al-Ahli 3–2 Al-Nassr

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Al-Ahli 38%, the draw 28%, Al-Nassr 34%.

Al-Ahli won and made the better chances: 3.7 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ivan Toney, 72.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Wesley +26.8, Ivan Toney +25.6, Nawaf Boushal +25.2.

Well below it: Ali Majrashi −12.1, Zakaria Hawsawi −10.3, Nawaf Al-Aqidi −8.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

30 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Al-Fayha Saudi Pro League
26 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Al-Fateh Saudi Pro League
21 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Al-Qadsiah Saudi Pro League
8 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League
30 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Al-Riyadh Saudi Pro League

30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Al-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League
27 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v Al-Okhdood Saudi Pro League
23 Nov 2025	W 4–1	v Al-Khaleej Saudi Pro League
8 Nov 2025	W 3–1	at Neom SC Saudi Pro League
1 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Al-Fayha Saudi Pro League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ivan Toney Forward	90	2	1	1.75	72.6	+25.6
Matheus Gonçalves Midfielder	77	0	0	0.21	61.7	+18.5
Wenderson Galeno Midfielder	90	0	1	0.51	59.0	+12.3
Merih Demiral Defender	90	1	0	0.34	47.7	+2.6
Firas Al-Buraikan Forward	90	0	0	0.14	47.1	+4.1
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.0	–
Valentin Atangana Edoa Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	43.4	−0.8
Ziyad Aljohani Midfielder	89	0	0	–	40.5	−3.6
Zakaria Hawsawi Defender	81	0	0	–	38.8	−10.3
Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor Defender	90	0	0	0.14	38.7	+4.1
Eid Al Muwallad Midfielder	10	0	0	–	36.9	–
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Forward	13	0	0	0.02	36.1	–
Ali Majrashi Defender	90	0	1	0.49	33.2	−12.1
Mohammed Abdulrahman Defender	9	0	0	–	24.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Abdulelah Al-Amri Defender	89	2	0	0.11	71.6	+21.7
Nawaf Boushal Defender	54	0	0	–	71.3	+25.2
Kingsley Coman Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	71.3	+24.1
Abdullah Al-Khaibari Midfielder	26	0	0	–	71.0	–
Marcelo Brozović Midfielder	90	0	1	0.10	68.6	+14.3
Wesley Midfielder	64	0	0	0.05	66.6	+26.8
João Félix Forward	90	0	0	0.17	58.5	−1.6
Saad Al-Nasser Defender	45	0	0	0.07	57.0	–
Ângelo Midfielder	86	0	0	0.04	51.2	+2.2
Iñigo Martínez Defender	90	0	0	0.05	50.0	+4.4
Sultan Al-Ghannam Defender	45	0	1	–	48.8	+0.7
Cristiano Ronaldo Forward	90	0	0	0.24	48.7	−6.6
Ali Al-Hassan Midfielder	10	0	0	0.01	42.4	–
Nawaf Al-Aqidi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.1	−8.2
Ayman Yahya Midfielder	45	0	0	–	39.9	−7.4
Abdulrahman Ghareeb Midfielder	17	0	0	–	39.4	–