Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 26 Dec 2025

Al-Fateh 2–1 Al-Ahli

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Al-Fateh favourites at 41%.

Al-Fateh won although Al-Ahli made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Fernando Pacheco, 63.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Fernando Pacheco +17.3, Matías Vargas +15.7, Saeed Baattia +12.9.

Well below it: Ali Majrashi −15.9, Sofiane Bendebka −15.0, Merih Demiral −9.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Al-Qadsiah Saudi Pro League
8 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League
30 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Al-Riyadh Saudi Pro League
23 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Najma SC Saudi Pro League
17 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Al-Shabab Saudi Pro League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Fernando Pacheco Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	63.2	+17.3
Matías Vargas Forward	89	2	0	0.37	59.1	+15.7
Saeed Baattia Defender	90	0	0	–	55.5	+12.9
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem Defender	45	0	0	–	53.9	–
Fahad Zubaidi Forward	1	0	0	–	52.1	–
Marwane Saadane Defender	90	0	1	–	47.7	+3.6
Jorge Fernandes Defender	90	0	0	–	44.4	+1.2
Wesley Delgado Midfielder	75	0	0	–	42.1	–
Mourad Batna Forward	90	0	1	0.07	40.9	−5.6
Mohammed Al-Sarnoukh Defender	15	0	0	–	40.3	–
Naif Masoud Midfielder	89	0	0	0.02	39.6	−0.7
Abdullah Al-Anazi Midfielder	45	0	0	0.17	37.6	−0.8
Mohammed Al-Sahihi Midfielder	10	0	0	–	36.5	–
Abdulaziz Al Fawaz Midfielder	45	0	0	–	30.5	−8.1
Sofiane Bendebka Midfielder	45	0	0	–	30.5	−15.0
Ziyad Aljari Defender	90	0	0	–	29.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat Forward	11	0	0	–	59.3	–
Roger Ibañez Defender	90	0	1	0.26	52.6	+8.1
Matteo Dams Defender	90	0	0	–	52.6	–
Valentin Atangana Edoa Midfielder	90	1	0	0.50	50.5	+8.8
Matheus Gonçalves Midfielder	90	0	0	0.61	49.8	+9.1
Enzo Millot Midfielder	79	0	0	–	45.5	+4.6
Merih Demiral Defender	90	0	0	–	39.5	−9.2
Firas Al-Buraikan Forward	90	0	0	0.24	38.9	−6.8
Ivan Toney Forward	90	0	0	0.13	38.7	−8.1
Mohammed Abdulrahman Defender	11	0	0	0.04	37.9	–
Abdulrahman Al Sanbi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	36.2	–
Wenderson Galeno Midfielder	86	0	0	0.04	35.4	–
Ali Majrashi Defender	79	0	0	–	31.6	−15.9
Zakaria Hawsawi Defender	14	0	0	–	25.8	–