Saudi Pro League 25/26 · 21 Nov 2025

Al-Ahli 2–1 Al-Qadsiah

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Al-Ahli favourites at 56%.

Al-Ahli won although Al-Qadsiah made the better chances (1.1 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christopher Baah, 81.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Christopher Baah +32.3, Gastón Álvarez +12.7, Julian Weigl +10.6.

Well below it: Ziyad Aljohani −12.8, Riyad Mahrez −11.5, Koen Casteels −9.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

8 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League
30 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Al-Riyadh Saudi Pro League
23 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Najma SC Saudi Pro League
17 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Al-Shabab Saudi Pro League
26 Sep 2025	W 2–0	at Al-Hazem Saudi Pro League

6 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League
1 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Al-Taawoun Saudi Pro League
25 Oct 2025	D 0–0	v Al-Okhdood Saudi Pro League
19 Oct 2025	W 3–1	at Neom SC Saudi Pro League
27 Sep 2025	W 1–0	at Al-Fateh Saudi Pro League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Wenderson Galeno Midfielder	66	1	0.47	63.5	–
Edouard Mendy Goalkeeper	90	0	–	50.3	+0.7
Franck Kessié Midfielder	90	1	0.05	45.4	+3.8
Ali Majrashi Defender	85	0	–	45.0	−1.5
Roger Ibañez Defender	90	0	–	44.8	−0.6
Merih Demiral Defender	90	0	–	44.3	−6.4
Firas Al-Buraikan Forward	24	0	–	42.5	–
Eid Al Muwallad Midfielder	25	0	–	40.9	–
Riyad Mahrez Midfielder	90	0	–	40.5	−11.5
Ivan Toney Forward	90	0	0.05	40.1	−8.4
Valentin Atangana Edoa Midfielder	65	0	–	37.6	−5.8
Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor Defender	90	0	–	35.5	+1.2
Ziyad Aljohani Midfielder	49	0	–	34.5	−12.8
Mohammed Abdulrahman Defender	12	0	–	34.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Christopher Baah Midfielder	90	0	1	–	81.6	+32.3
Abdullah Al-Salem Forward	27	1	0	0.09	76.4	–
Gastón Álvarez Defender	84	0	0	0.04	60.3	+12.7
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	56.5	+5.0
Julian Weigl Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.2	+10.6
Nacho Fernández Defender	90	0	0	–	52.8	+7.7
Husain Al-Qahtani Midfielder	13	0	0	0.05	51.8	–
Nahitan Nández Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	50.2	+4.8
Musab Al Juwayr Midfielder	77	0	0	0.36	48.1	+0.8
Otávio Midfielder	84	0	0	–	47.9	+1.0
Mateo Retegui Forward	90	0	0	0.32	45.6	−3.4
Koen Casteels Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.1	−9.2
Yasser Al-Shahrani Defender	63	0	0	0.03	41.3	−4.7
Turki Al Ammar Midfielder	13	0	0	0.08	40.9	–
Ali Hazazi Midfielder	13	0	0	–	39.4	–