England 1–2 Argentina
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Standout: Lautaro Martínez scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 0.5 – 1.9
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made England favourites at 54%.
Argentina won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lionel Messi, 97.2 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Lionel Messi +33.6, Cristian Romero +28.2, Declan Rice +19.3.
Well below it: Harry Kane −22.5, Jude Bellingham −11.9, Marc Guéhi −10.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
England
| 11 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | at Norway |
| 6 Jul 2026 | W 3–2 | at Mexico |
| 1 Jul 2026 | W 2–1 | v DR Congo |
| 27 Jun 2026 | W 2–0 | at Panama |
| 23 Jun 2026 | D 0–0 | v Ghana |
Argentina
| 12 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | v Switzerland |
| 7 Jul 2026 | W 3–2 | v Egypt |
| 3 Jul 2026 | D 1–1 | v Cabo Verde |
| 28 Jun 2026 | W 3–1 | at Jordan |
| 22 Jun 2026 | W 2–0 | v Austria |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
England
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Burn | 8 | 75.2 | – |
| Declan Rice | 82 | 70.7 | +19.3 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 8 | 67.1 | – |
| Morgan Rogers | 90 | 60.6 | +8.7 |
| Anthony Gordon | 72 | 60.3 | +5.6 |
| Reece James | 82 | 60.1 | +0.8 |
| Elliot Anderson | 90 | 55.9 | −6.9 |
| Djed Spence | 89 | 53.6 | +1.6 |
| Ivan Toney | 1 | 52.5 | – |
| John Stones | 89 | 51.3 | −2.2 |
| Jude Bellingham | 90 | 48.0 | −11.9 |
| Marc Guéhi | 90 | 47.8 | −10.9 |
| Jordan Pickford | 90 | 45.1 | −0.7 |
| Harry Kane | 90 | 41.6 | −22.5 |
| Marcus Rashford | 1 | 39.4 | – |
| Ezri Konsa | 18 | 38.9 | – |
Argentina
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo De Paul | 18 | 100.0 | – |
| Lautaro Martínez | 9 | 100.0 | – |
| Lionel Messi | 90 | 97.2 | +33.6 |
| Nicolás González | 26 | 89.3 | – |
| Cristian Romero | 90 | 89.1 | +28.2 |
| Nicolás Otamendi | 18 | 88.1 | – |
| Enzo Fernández | 90 | 71.5 | +12.0 |
| Leandro Paredes | 64 | 70.1 | +11.5 |
| Julián Alvarez | 90 | 62.4 | +2.3 |
| Giuliano Simeone | 72 | 56.5 | +2.9 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 90 | 51.9 | +0.7 |
| Lisandro Martínez | 72 | 50.4 | −4.3 |
| Nicolás Tagliafico | 81 | 47.4 | +3.5 |
| Nahuel Molina | 72 | 46.2 | +0.9 |
| Emiliano Martínez | 90 | 43.9 | −6.1 |
| Gonzalo Montiel | 18 | 30.3 | – |