World Cup 2026, Match for 3rd place · 18 Jul 2026

France 4–6 England

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Chances everywhere: 5.7 xG · Standout: Bukayo Saka scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jun 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.6 – 0.9
Actual xG: 2.8 – 2.9
Goals: 4 – 6

Footybot made France favourites at 54%.

England won a close one on the chances: 2.9 xG to 2.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ousmane Dembélé, 100.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Eberechi Eze +49.1, Declan Rice +45.2, Bukayo Saka +43.7.

Well below it: Mike Maignan −31.8, Ibrahima Konaté −17.7, Rayan Cherki −13.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

France

14 Jul 2026	L 0–2	v Spain World Cup 2026
9 Jul 2026	W 2–0	v Morocco World Cup 2026
4 Jul 2026	W 1–0	at Paraguay World Cup 2026
30 Jun 2026	W 3–0	v Sweden World Cup 2026
26 Jun 2026	W 4–1	at Norway World Cup 2026

England

15 Jul 2026	L 1–2	v Argentina World Cup 2026
11 Jul 2026	D 1–1	at Norway World Cup 2026
6 Jul 2026	W 3–2	at Mexico World Cup 2026
1 Jul 2026	W 2–1	v DR Congo World Cup 2026
27 Jun 2026	W 2–0	at Panama World Cup 2026

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

France

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ousmane Dembélé Forward	45	1	0	0.39	100.0	+35.6
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	2	1	1.39	90.8	+29.3
Bradley Barcola Forward	45	1	0	0.40	80.2	+28.3
Michael Olise Midfielder	90	0	2	0.47	76.2	+6.4
Maxence Lacroix Defender	90	0	0	–	61.0	+6.0
Dayot Upamecano Defender	45	0	1	0.03	59.1	+0.4
Lucas Digne Defender	45	0	0	–	59.0	+13.0
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	51.8	+0.9
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	51.5	−1.9
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	45	0	0	0.04	51.2	−13.8
Jules Koundé Defender	8	0	0	–	50.9	–
Désiré Doué Forward	45	0	0	–	48.8	−11.0
Malo Gusto Defender	89	0	0	–	47.3	−7.5
Theo Hernández Defender	45	0	0	–	43.8	+1.6
Ibrahima Konaté Defender	45	0	0	–	37.0	−17.7
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	18.5	−31.8

England

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bukayo Saka Forward	90	3	0	1.49	100.0	+43.7
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	79	0	1	0.08	100.0	+49.1
Reece James Defender	16	0	0	–	100.0	–
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	11	1	0	0.42	100.0	–
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	1	1	0.04	99.8	+45.2
Marcus Rashford Forward	45	0	1	0.52	95.3	+37.9
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	1	0	0.10	90.9	+40.9
Ollie Watkins Forward	45	0	0	0.05	79.8	+18.6
Djed Spence Defender	90	0	0	–	75.8	+23.3
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	68.2	+16.8
Marc Guéhi Defender	89	0	0	–	64.9	+9.5
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	11	0	0	–	64.6	–
Ivan Toney Forward	79	0	0	0.11	46.3	−5.2
Jarell Quansah Defender	83	0	0	–	45.5	+1.8
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	37.8	−8.8