Liga Portugal 25/26 · 3 Jan 2026

Benfica 3–1 Estoril Praia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Benfica favourites at 83%.

Benfica won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: João Carvalho, 71.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: João Carvalho +28.6, Kévin Boma +18.4, Felix Bacher +18.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

28 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Famalicão Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2025	W 4–0	at Moreirense Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v SSC Napoli Champions League
5 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Sporting CP Liga Portugal

27 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v FC Alverca Liga Portugal
19 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2025	L 0–4	at Famalicão Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025	D 3–3	v Moreirense Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025	L 0–1	at FC Porto Liga Portugal

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Vangelis Pavlidis Forward	87	3	0	1.53	66.1	+13.4
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.9	+2.0
Nicolás Otamendi Defender	90	0	0	–	50.1	−6.0
Tomás Araújo Defender	90	0	0	0.11	47.0	−2.2
Richard Ríos Midfielder	90	0	0	0.12	46.7	−2.2
Amar Dedić Defender	90	0	0	0.04	42.6	−5.3
Gianluca Prestianni Midfielder	77	0	0	0.23	41.3	−11.0
Franjo Ivanović Forward	3	0	0	–	38.1	–
João Rêgo Forward	1	0	0	–	38.1	–
Samuel Dahl Defender	90	0	0	–	37.7	−8.1
Manu Silva Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	37.7	–
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder	89	0	1	–	36.6	−10.3
Georgiy Sudakov Midfielder	77	0	0	0.20	36.5	−23.1
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	13	0	0	–	24.9	–
Sidny Lopes Cabral Defender	13	0	0	0.05	11.5	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
João Carvalho Midfielder	90	1	0	0.22	71.2	+28.6
Rafik Guitane Midfielder	90	0	1	–	67.3	+11.4
Felix Bacher Defender	90	0	0	–	65.9	+18.0
Kévin Boma Defender	90	0	0	–	64.9	+18.4
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder	90	0	0	–	60.9	+6.3
Jandro Orellana Midfielder	77	0	0	0.05	52.1	+8.5
Alejandro Marqués Forward	66	0	0	0.28	51.7	+8.8
Fabrício Garcia Forward	24	0	0	–	50.5	–
Yanis Begraoui Forward	90	0	0	0.23	49.8	−1.8
Ricard Sánchez Defender	59	0	0	–	49.2	+0.8
Antef Tsoungui Defender	31	0	0	0.01	48.8	–
Pedro Amaral Defender	78	0	0	0.05	47.6	+10.4
Pizzi Midfielder	13	0	0	–	41.8	–
Tiago Parente Defender	12	0	0	–	35.6	–
Joel Robles Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	31.1	−17.1