Finland 2–1 Albania
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.4 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 0.4 – 0.5
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Finland favourites at 50%.
Finland won a close one on the chances: 0.4 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Glen Kamara, 78.4 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Glen Kamara +28.7, Leo Walta +19.6, Mario Mitaj +19.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Finland
| 29 Sep 2026 | D 0–0 | v Belarus |
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 7–0 | at San Marino |
| 14 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v Malta |
| 12 Oct 2025 | L 0–4 | at Netherlands |
| 9 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | v Lithuania |
Albania
| 29 Sep 2026 | W 3–0 | at San Marino |
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 2–0 | v Belarus |
| 26 Mar 2026 | L 1–2 | at Poland |
| 16 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v England |
| 13 Nov 2025 | W 1–0 | at Andorra |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Finland
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Kamara | 45 | 78.4 | +28.7 |
| Leo Walta | 82 | 70.5 | +19.6 |
| Adam Markhiev | 89 | 65.9 | +16.4 |
| Onni Valakari | 8 | 62.6 | – |
| Tony Miettinen | 62 | 61.7 | – |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | 90 | 59.9 | +16.4 |
| Leo Väisänen | 28 | 59.3 | – |
| Daniel Håkans | 62 | 57.8 | +18.8 |
| Matti Peltola | 8 | 57.3 | – |
| Lukáš Hrádecký | 90 | 53.9 | +1.5 |
| Kaan Kairinen | 45 | 53.0 | +2.7 |
| Oiva Jukkola | 28 | 45.7 | – |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 90 | 42.7 | −7.2 |
Albania
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Mitaj | 90 | 61.5 | +19.2 |
| Berat Djimsiti | 90 | 60.8 | +10.4 |
| Kristjan Asllani | 77 | 59.6 | +13.1 |
| Arber Hoxha | 25 | 58.5 | – |
| Ardian Ismajli | 90 | 54.6 | +1.4 |
| Anis Mehmeti | 13 | 52.6 | – |
| Ernest Muçi | 65 | 52.5 | +4.6 |
| Ylber Ramadani | 90 | 52.1 | +8.0 |
| Stavros Pilios | 77 | 51.7 | +9.9 |
| Myrto Uzuni | 25 | 49.6 | – |
| Elseid Hysaj | 90 | 48.8 | −0.4 |
| Alen Sherri | 65 | 21.9 | – |