UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 4 Oct 2026

Azerbaijan 1–0 Lithuania

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Azerbaijan favourites at 47%.

Azerbaijan won and made the better chances: 1.5 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kipras Kazukolovas, 83.2 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Kipras Kazukolovas +29.9, Edgaras Utkus +17.7, Rüfat Abbasov +15.3.

Well below it: Aleksey Isayev −8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2026	D 0–0	v Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026	D 1–1	at Lithuania UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025	L 1–3	v France World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025	L 0–2	v Iceland World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Ukraine World Cup Qualification UEFA

27 Sep 2026	D 1–1	v Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	W 2–0	at Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025	L 0–4	at Netherlands World Cup Qualification UEFA
12 Oct 2025	L 0–2	v Poland World Cup Qualification UEFA
9 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Finland World Cup Qualification UEFA

27 Sep 2026	Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Abdulakh Khaybulaev Midfielder	64	1	0	0.99	62.8	+11.8
Mahir Emreli Forward	90	0	0	0.12	56.6	+7.3
Rüfat Abbasov Defender	90	0	0	–	56.1	+15.3
Bədavi Hüseynov Defender	90	0	0	–	56.0	+10.0
Emil Balayev Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.2	–
Aleksey Isayev Midfielder	80	0	0	–	47.4	−8.1
Emil Safarov Midfielder	26	0	0	–	46.6	–
Elvin Badalov Defender	9	0	0	–	46.3	–
Tellur Mutallimov Defender	88	0	0	0.04	44.7	−5.1
Rahman Dashdamirov Defender	90	0	0	–	39.3	−4.1
Vüsal İsgändärli Midfielder	45	0	0	0.06	39.2	–
Toral Bayramov Defender	45	0	1	0.28	36.4	−3.4

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Kipras Kazukolovas Defender	45	–	83.2	+29.9
Edgaras Utkus Defender	45	0.03	69.8	+17.7
Rokas Lekiatas Defender	83	0.08	66.0	–
Tomas Švedkauskas Goalkeeper	90	–	60.0	–
Armandas Kučys Forward	90	0.41	59.4	+14.0
Gvidas Gineitis Midfielder	90	0.10	55.1	+7.6
Motiejus Burba Forward	23	–	54.7	–
Adrian Lickunas Midfielder	67	0.02	49.4	–
Lukas Michelbrink Midfielder	45	–	49.4	−2.0
Justas Lasickas Defender	90	0.11	49.3	+3.1
Vykintas Slivka Midfielder	68	0.21	49.0	+5.7