Belarus 1–0 Finland
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.1 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 0.9 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot saw it as open: Belarus 36%, the draw 29%, Finland 35%.
Belarus won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Leo Walta, 67.3 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Matti Peltola +28.3, Juho Lähteenmäki +22.3, Leo Walta +13.5.
Well below it: Vladislav Kalinin −14.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Belarus
| 3 Oct 2026 | W 4–0 | v San Marino |
| 29 Sep 2026 | D 0–0 | at Finland |
| 26 Sep 2026 | L 0–2 | at Albania |
| 18 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | v Greece |
| 15 Nov 2025 | D 2–2 | at Denmark |
Finland
| 3 Oct 2026 | W 2–1 | v Albania |
| 29 Sep 2026 | D 0–0 | v Belarus |
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 7–0 | at San Marino |
| 14 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v Malta |
| 12 Oct 2025 | L 0–4 | at Netherlands |
Head to head
| 29 Sep 2026 | Finland 0–0 Belarus |
Belarus
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fedor Lapoukhov | 90 | 53.5 | +0.7 |
| Zakhar Volkov | 90 | 51.8 | +1.6 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 45 | 45.3 | −1.9 |
| Kirill Gomanov | 90 | 45.1 | −5.2 |
| Max Ebong | 90 | 44.4 | −1.5 |
| Valeriy Bocherov | 45 | 42.5 | – |
| Aleksandr Selyava | 84 | 41.2 | – |
| Vladislav Kalinin | 90 | 39.5 | −14.2 |
| Evgeniy Yablonskiy | 9 | 37.1 | – |
Finland
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Walta | 90 | 67.3 | +13.5 |
| Matti Peltola | 67 | 67.2 | +28.3 |
| Juho Lähteenmäki | 67 | 66.1 | +22.3 |
| Adam Markhiev | 90 | 64.8 | +12.5 |
| Santeri Väänänen | 23 | 62.7 | – |
| Daniel Håkans | 16 | 54.9 | – |
| Oiva Jukkola | 32 | 54.0 | – |
| Lukáš Hrádecký | 90 | 51.7 | −0.7 |
| Benjamin Källman | 23 | 47.8 | – |
| Topi Keskinen | 90 | 44.4 | +1.3 |
| Onni Valakari | 58 | 40.8 | +0.4 |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 32 | 39.8 | – |