Croatia 1–2 Spain
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Pau Cubarsí scored 95.7
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 0.9 – 1.6
- Actual xG
- 1.2 – 1.1
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Spain favourites at 54%.
Spain won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Pau Cubarsí, 95.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Pau Cubarsí +33.9, Aymeric Laporte +27.7, Nikola Vlašić +20.4.
Well below it: Lamine Yamal −26.3, Luka Vušković −17.6, Josip Stanišić −13.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Croatia
| 3 Oct 2026 | L 0–7 | v England |
| 29 Sep 2026 | L 1–4 | at Spain |
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 2–1 | at Czechia |
| 2 Jul 2026 | L 1–2 | at Portugal |
| 27 Jun 2026 | W 2–1 | v Ghana |
Spain
| 3 Oct 2026 | W 3–1 | v Czechia |
| 29 Sep 2026 | W 4–1 | v Croatia |
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 3–2 | at England |
| 19 Jul 2026 | D 0–0 | v Argentina |
| 14 Jul 2026 | W 2–0 | at France |
Head to head
| 29 Sep 2026 | Spain 4–1 Croatia |
Croatia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vlašić | 71 | 68.8 | +20.4 |
| Luka Modrić | 66 | 67.8 | +13.8 |
| Martin Baturina | 19 | 66.9 | – |
| Mario Pašalić | 2 | 63.3 | – |
| Igor Matanović | 65 | 62.1 | +6.5 |
| Ivan Perišić | 79 | 61.7 | +5.9 |
| Joško Gvardiol | 90 | 53.2 | −1.9 |
| Kristijan Jakić | 90 | 52.3 | +6.4 |
| Mateo Kovačić | 88 | 51.8 | −9.3 |
| Petar Sučić | 24 | 51.5 | – |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 50.1 | −0.6 |
| Luka Vušković | 90 | 47.0 | −17.6 |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 45.2 | −13.3 |
| Dominik Livaković | 90 | 43.8 | −2.6 |
| Dion Drena Beljo | 25 | 38.4 | – |
Spain
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Cubarsí | 90 | 95.7 | +33.9 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 80.2 | +27.7 |
| Mikel Merino | 45 | 77.9 | +17.0 |
| Rodri | 71 | 76.8 | +13.9 |
| Pedri | 87 | 69.6 | +8.5 |
| Marc Pubill | 90 | 69.4 | +15.3 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 19 | 55.1 | – |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 54.7 | +8.1 |
| Víctor Muñoz | 12 | 54.6 | – |
| Dani Olmo | 71 | 54.2 | −2.3 |
| Unai Simón | 90 | 53.5 | +3.8 |
| Lamine Yamal | 78 | 51.8 | −26.3 |
| Alex Baena | 45 | 48.9 | −8.2 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 90 | 38.3 | −8.4 |
| Fermín López | 19 | 36.8 | – |
| Yéremy Pino | 3 | 35.6 | – |