Matchday

UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 6 Oct 2026

Croatia 1–2 Spain

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Pau Cubarsí scored 95.7

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
0.9 – 1.6
Actual xG
1.2 – 1.1
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Spain favourites at 54%.

Spain won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Pau Cubarsí, 95.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Pau Cubarsí +33.9, Aymeric Laporte +27.7, Nikola Vlašić +20.4.

Well below it: Lamine Yamal −26.3, Luka Vušković −17.6, Josip Stanišić −13.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Croatia

3 Oct 2026L 0–7v England UEFA Nations League
29 Sep 2026L 1–4at Spain UEFA Nations League
26 Sep 2026W 2–1at Czechia UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2026L 1–2at Portugal World Cup 2026
27 Jun 2026W 2–1v Ghana World Cup 2026

Spain

3 Oct 2026W 3–1v Czechia UEFA Nations League
29 Sep 2026W 4–1v Croatia UEFA Nations League
26 Sep 2026W 3–2at England UEFA Nations League
19 Jul 2026D 0–0v Argentina World Cup 2026
14 Jul 2026W 2–0at France World Cup 2026

Head to head

29 Sep 2026Spain 4–1 Croatia UEFA Nations League

Croatia

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nikola Vlašić Midfielder71000.0768.8+20.4
Luka Modrić Midfielder6600–67.8+13.8
Martin Baturina Midfielder1900–66.9–
Mario Pašalić Midfielder200–63.3–
Igor Matanović Forward65000.5562.1+6.5
Ivan Perišić Midfielder79100.3461.7+5.9
Joško Gvardiol Defender9000–53.2−1.9
Kristijan Jakić Midfielder90000.1152.3+6.4
Mateo Kovačić Midfielder88000.0551.8−9.3
Petar Sučić Midfielder2400–51.5–
Josip Šutalo Defender9000–50.1−0.6
Luka Vušković Defender9000–47.0−17.6
Josip Stanišić Defender90000.0645.2−13.3
Dominik Livaković Goalkeeper9000–43.8−2.6
Dion Drena Beljo Forward2500–38.4–

Spain

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Pau Cubarsí Defender9000–95.7+33.9
Aymeric Laporte Defender9000–80.2+27.7
Mikel Merino Midfielder45200.4477.9+17.0
Rodri Midfielder7100–76.8+13.9
Pedri Midfielder8700–69.6+8.5
Marc Pubill Defender9000–69.4+15.3
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder1901–55.1–
Marc Cucurella Defender9000–54.7+8.1
Víctor Muñoz Midfielder12000.0154.6–
Dani Olmo Midfielder71010.4054.2−2.3
Unai Simón Goalkeeper9000–53.5+3.8
Lamine Yamal Midfielder78000.1251.8−26.3
Alex Baena Midfielder45000.0348.9−8.2
Mikel Oyarzabal Forward90000.0838.3−8.4
Fermín López Midfielder1900–36.8–
Yéremy Pino Forward300–35.6–