Bundesliga 25/26 · 10 Jan 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Chances everywhere: 4.6 xG · Standout: Lorenz Assignon scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Loïc Badé

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.8 – 1.0
Actual xG: 1.9 – 2.6
Goals: 1 – 4

Footybot made Bayer 04 Leverkusen favourites at 56%.

VfB Stuttgart won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 1.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Chris Führich, 67.1 in 72′.

Well above their usual level: Chris Führich +21.8, Jamie Leweling +14.1, Jarell Quansah +13.6.

Well below it: Aleix García −21.6, Mark Flekken −21.2, Alejandro Grimaldo −12.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

20 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Newcastle United Champions League
6 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025	L 1–2	v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

20 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025	W 4–0	at SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League
6 Dec 2025	L 0–5	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Jarell Quansah Defender	90	0	–	62.9	+13.6
Loïc Badé Defender	45	0	–	60.3	+1.8
Arthur Midfielder	90	0	0.09	56.5	+8.0
Alejandro Grimaldo Midfielder	82	1	1.00	54.7	−12.2
Lucas Vázquez Midfielder	8	0	–	49.6	–
Robert Andrich Defender	90	0	–	49.2	−3.4
Malik Tillman Midfielder	90	0	0.13	47.7	−2.8
Ezequiel Fernández Midfielder	66	0	0.17	46.9	−4.1
Martin Terrier Forward	66	0	0.39	44.7	−8.2
Ernest Poku Forward	45	0	0.11	44.6	−6.3
Jonas Hofmann Forward	24	0	–	40.6	–
Aleix García Midfielder	90	0	0.03	40.5	−21.6
Nathan Tella Forward	45	0	0.02	40.2	−7.7
Jeanuël Belocian Defender	45	0	–	38.9	−8.3
Alejo Sarco Forward	24	0	–	37.4	–
Mark Flekken Goalkeeper	90	0	–	35.9	−21.2

VfB Stuttgart

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lorenz Assignon Defender	11	0	0	–	100.0	–
Finn Jeltsch Defender	18	0	0	–	71.6	–
Chris Führich Midfielder	72	0	1	–	67.1	+21.8
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	79	2	0	0.72	65.8	+14.1
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	90	1	0	0.79	64.3	+9.6
Ermedin Demirović Forward	2	0	0	–	61.4	–
Deniz Undav Forward	88	1	2	0.32	61.2	+4.3
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.7	+5.1
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	88	0	0	–	54.4	+1.8
Josha Vagnoman Defender	79	0	0	0.72	54.2	+9.0
Jeff Chabot Defender	90	0	0	–	50.9	−8.9
Chema Andrés Midfielder	2	0	0	–	48.1	–
Jeremy Arevalo Forward	11	0	0	–	46.1	–
Ramon Hendriks Defender	90	0	0	–	45.1	−5.1
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	44.9	−11.6
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.9	−5.0