FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 17 Jan 2026

Watford 0–2 Millwall

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 0.7
Actual xG
0.5 – 1.6
Goals
0 – 2

Footybot made Watford favourites at 56%.

Millwall won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Max Crocombe, 56.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Casper De Norre +13.2, Marc Bola +13.0, Femi Azeez +11.4.

Well below it: Jeremy Ngakia −18.8, Othmane Maamma −17.6, Matthew Pollock −13.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Watford

1 Jan 2026W 3–0v Birmingham City Championship
29 Dec 2025W 1–0at Norwich City Championship
26 Dec 2025W 2–1at Leicester City Championship
20 Dec 2025W 1–0v Stoke City Championship
13 Dec 2025D 2–2at Wrexham Championship

Millwall

4 Jan 2026W 2–1v Swansea City Championship
1 Jan 2026D 0–0at Southampton Championship
29 Dec 2025W 2–1v Bristol City Championship
26 Dec 2025D 0–0v Ipswich Town Championship
20 Dec 2025L 0–2at Blackburn Rovers Championship

Head to head

22 Sep 2025Millwall 1–0 Watford Championship

Watford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Marc Bola Defender90000.3048.0+13.0
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper9000–47.3−4.5
James Abankwah Defender90000.0744.6+3.8
Tom Ince Midfielder90000.1040.1−3.5
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder8000–38.2−2.3
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder9000–33.1+1.2
Vivaldo Forward1000–32.0–
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward80000.0430.7−11.3
Matthew Pollock Defender9000–30.4−13.6
Nestory Irankunda Forward2400–30.4–
Imrân Louza Midfielder9000–29.5−13.3
Jeremy Ngakia Defender6600–17.1−18.8
Othmane Maamma Midfielder66000.0214.8−17.6
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender2400–11.3–
Kwadwo Baah Forward1000–0.0–

Millwall

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Josh Coburn Forward23100.5980.6–
Max Crocombe Goalkeeper9000–56.6+5.7
Casper De Norre Midfielder45000.0054.4+13.2
Femi Azeez Midfielder80100.1450.5+11.4
Caleb Taylor Defender90000.1648.1+1.0
Camiel Neghli Midfielder8701–45.7+9.1
Jake Cooper Defender9000–42.7−3.3
Macaulay Langstaff Forward45000.4742.1+2.1
Aidomo Emakhu Forward2400–41.4–
Alfie Doughty Midfielder90000.0740.9−0.6
Mihailo Ivanović Forward67000.0638.6−0.7
Billy Mitchell Midfielder9000–37.9−3.5
Luke Cundle Midfielder1000–37.3–
Zak Sturge Defender1000–32.1–
Tristan Crama Defender90000.0729.6−3.7
Thierno Ballo Midfielder6600–26.9−7.3