Bundesliga 25/26 · 24 Jan 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made 1. FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 49%.

1. FSV Mainz 05 won and made the better chances: 4.0 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Denis Vavro, 60.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Stefan Posch +14.9, Phillip Tietz +13.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Samsunspor Conference League

17 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026	L 1–8	at FC Bayern München Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025	L 3–4	v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

31 Aug 2025	VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder	25	1	1	0.79	100.0	–
William Bøving Forward	1	0	0	–	76.0	–
Stefan Bell Defender	90	1	0	1.05	60.1	+3.4
Stefan Posch Defender	90	0	0	–	57.7	+14.9
Phillip Tietz Forward	89	1	0	1.40	55.6	+13.8
Dominik Kohr Defender	90	0	0	–	46.5	+0.3
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.9	−13.3
Benedict Hollerbach Forward	89	0	1	0.74	43.5	−2.4
Kaishu Sano Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	42.0	−5.2
Paul Nebel Midfielder	65	0	0	–	41.2	+1.1
Silvan Widmer Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	39.5	−4.3
Danny da Costa Defender	65	0	0	–	38.0	−6.6
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder	89	0	0	0.01	37.5	−9.0
Lennard Maloney Midfielder	8	0	0	–	33.8	–
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder	25	0	0	–	32.1	–
Silas Midfielder	8	0	0	–	29.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lovro Majer Midfielder	15	0	0	–	76.3	–
Denis Vavro Defender	90	0	0	–	60.9	–
Moritz Jenz Defender	90	0	0	–	56.5	+2.8
Mohamed Amoura Forward	66	1	0	0.35	54.0	+4.9
Vinícius Souza Midfielder	75	0	0	–	48.5	+1.5
Patrick Wimmer Midfielder	75	0	0	–	44.9	−1.1
Adam Daghim Forward	24	0	0	0.02	44.5	–
Kento Shiogai Forward	14	0	0	–	44.2	–
Christian Eriksen Midfielder	84	0	0	0.15	44.1	−3.8
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.8	−4.7
Dženan Pejčinović Forward	90	0	0	0.13	42.7	−15.4
Yannick Gerhardt Midfielder	84	0	0	–	41.8	−2.5
Mattias Svanberg Midfielder	14	0	0	–	36.9	–
Saël Kumbedi Defender	90	0	1	–	30.9	−9.9
Jesper Lindstrøm Midfielder	15	0	0	0.02	29.9	–
Aaron Zehnter Defender	90	0	0	–	29.8	−17.5