FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 27 Jan 2026

FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 1.2
Actual xG
1.4 – 1.0
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot saw it as open: FC St. Pauli 36%, the draw 27%, RB Leipzig 37%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.4 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Yan Diomande, 69.0 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Xaver Schlager +10.8, Nikola Vasilj +10.0, Yan Diomande +8.5.

Well below it: David Raum −22.4, Danel Sinani −16.4, Antonio Nusa −14.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC St. Pauli

23 Jan 2026D 0–0v Hamburger SV Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026L 2–3at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026L 1–2at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025D 0–0at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025W 2–1v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

24 Jan 2026W 3–0at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026L 1–5v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026W 2–0v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025L 1–3v Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025L 1–3at 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Martijn Kaars Forward23100.8988.9–
Nikola Vasilj Goalkeeper9000–59.5+10.0
Karol Mets Defender9000–54.0+6.4
Hauke Wahl Defender9000–52.5+8.0
Arkadiusz Pyrka Midfielder9000–46.9+5.5
Mathias Pereira Lage Forward1400–46.4–
Tomoya Ando Defender9000–42.0–
Manolis Saliakas Midfielder8700–40.2−3.3
Mathias Rasmussen Midfielder1300–40.2–
Abdoulie Ceesay Forward800–38.7–
Danel Sinani Forward7600–37.3−16.4
Eric Smith Defender9000–37.0−9.3
Ricky-Jade Jones Forward67000.4936.8−8.6
James Sands Midfielder7700–35.9−8.9
Joel Chima Fujita Midfielder77000.0732.2−11.9
Jackson Irvine Midfielder1300–25.5–

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Yan Diomande Forward89100.1469.0+8.5
Xaver Schlager Midfielder90000.1359.2+10.8
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder1000–59.0–
Tidiam Gomis Forward10000.0355.7–
Willi Orbán Defender9000–50.8−8.7
El Chadaille Bitshiabu Defender9000–48.9–
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder90000.1248.0−2.4
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder8500–47.9+3.0
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper9000–46.5−2.7
Antonio Nusa Forward85000.3445.6−14.2
Benjamin Henrichs Defender100–44.4–
Ridle Baku Defender9000–44.4−3.3
Rômulo Forward64000.2441.9−10.1
Conrad Harder Forward2600–40.6–
David Raum Defender90000.0338.3−22.4