DFB Pokal 25/26, Round 2 · 28 Oct 2025

FC St. Pauli 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Chances everywhere: 17.4 xG

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC St. Pauli favourites at 52%.

A draw the chances agree with: 8.7 xG to 8.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bernardo, 68.4 in 120′.

Well above their usual level: Bernardo +14.5, Robin Hranáč +10.9, Albian Hajdari +9.7.

Well below it: Bazoumana Touré −24.4, Tim Lemperle −13.1, Eric Smith −12.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
19 Oct 2025	L 0–3	v TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga
27 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
19 Sep 2025	L 0–2	at VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

25 Oct 2025	W 3–1	v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
19 Oct 2025	W 3–0	at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025	L 0–1	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
28 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at SC Freiburg Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025	L 1–4	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga

19 Oct 2025	FC St. Pauli 0–3 TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mathias Pereira Lage Forward	40	1	0	0.97	64.9	–
Andreas Hountondji Forward	66	0	0	0.03	46.1	+1.2
Louis Oppie Midfielder	120	0	0	0.84	44.2	+1.0
Hauke Wahl Defender	120	1	0	1.21	44.1	−4.1
Ben Voll Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	43.0	–
Oladapo Afolayan Forward	80	0	0	0.04	42.7	–
Abdoulie Ceesay Forward	54	0	0	0.98	41.8	–
Joel Chima Fujita Midfielder	120	0	0	0.85	41.0	−4.6
Karol Mets Defender	89	0	0	–	39.9	–
Eric Smith Defender	120	0	1	0.98	38.8	−12.7
Martijn Kaars Forward	39	0	0	0.85	37.9	–
Lars Ritzka Defender	31	0	0	–	37.2	–
Arkadiusz Pyrka Midfielder	66	0	0	–	35.8	−7.2
Connor Metcalfe Midfielder	81	0	0	0.46	33.2	−11.3
James Sands Midfielder	120	0	0	0.76	32.6	−11.0
Manolis Saliakas Midfielder	54	0	0	0.76	32.1	−12.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bernardo Defender	120	0	0	0.76	68.4	+14.5
Andrej Kramarić Forward	120	1	1	1.52	63.9	+4.3
Albian Hajdari Defender	120	0	0	0.76	63.4	+9.7
Robin Hranáč Defender	85	0	0	–	59.2	+10.9
Grischa Prömel Midfielder	71	1	0	0.63	54.1	–
Wouter Burger Midfielder	49	0	0	1.06	51.3	+2.3
Ozan Kabak Defender	35	0	0	0.76	50.4	–
Ihlas Bebou Forward	43	0	0	0.83	48.1	–
Alexander Prass Midfielder	108	0	0	–	48.0	+3.9
Leon Avdullahu Midfielder	120	0	0	0.76	45.7	−1.2
Oliver Baumann Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	43.9	−6.4
Fisnik Asllani Forward	77	0	0	0.04	42.4	−11.1
Umut Tohumcu Midfielder	34	0	0	0.76	40.9	–
Tim Lemperle Forward	86	0	0	0.03	38.4	−13.1
Kevin Akpoguma Defender	12	0	0	–	34.6	–
Bazoumana Touré Midfielder	120	0	0	0.76	31.1	−24.4