EFL Cup 25/26, Round 4 · 29 Oct 2025

Swansea City 1–3 Manchester City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 68%.

Manchester City won and made the better chances: 1.7 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nico González, 59.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gonçalo Franco +18.2, Kaelan Casey +11.2, Josh Tymon +9.0.

Well below it: Abdukodir Khusanov −12.8, Jérémy Doku −12.1, Nathan Aké −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v Norwich City Championship
22 Oct 2025	L 0–1	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
18 Oct 2025	D 0–0	at Southampton Championship
4 Oct 2025	L 1–3	v Leicester City Championship
30 Sep 2025	W 2–1	at Blackburn Rovers Championship

26 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Aston Villa Premier League
21 Oct 2025	W 2–0	at Villarreal Champions League
18 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v Everton Premier League
5 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Brentford Premier League
1 Oct 2025	D 2–2	at AS Monaco Champions League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gonçalo Franco Midfielder	69	1	0	0.07	57.5	+18.2
Kaelan Casey Defender	90	0	0	–	51.8	+11.2
Ethan Galbraith Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.7	+4.2
Melker Widell Midfielder	69	0	0	0.09	46.3	–
Zeidane Inoussa Forward	60	0	0	–	42.8	+1.1
Josh Tymon Defender	90	0	0	–	42.3	+9.0
Žan Vipotnik Forward	31	0	0	–	41.5	–
Jay Fulton Midfielder	21	0	0	–	40.8	–
Adam Idah Forward	59	0	0	–	40.8	+3.1
Cameron Burgess Defender	90	0	0	–	40.1	−4.7
Liam Cullen Forward	14	0	0	–	39.4	–
Ishé Samuels-Smith Defender	83	0	0	–	39.2	–
Andrew Fisher Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	37.6	−8.5
Josh Key Defender	90	0	1	–	37.0	+5.5
Benson Manuel Midfielder	21	0	0	–	35.3	–
Ronald Midfielder	30	0	0	–	34.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
John Stones Defender	27	0	0	–	65.3	–
Nico González Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	59.6	+1.0
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	90	1	0	0.28	59.3	−12.1
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender	63	0	1	0.06	58.0	–
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	90	1	1	0.44	52.9	–
Omar Marmoush Forward	90	1	0	0.30	49.8	–
Joško Gvardiol Defender	27	0	1	0.14	48.7	–
Nathan Aké Defender	90	0	0	–	46.8	−10.5
Oscar Bobb Midfielder	90	0	0	0.21	45.6	−4.8
Rico Lewis Defender	90	0	0	0.09	43.8	−2.0
Phil Foden Midfielder	27	0	0	–	43.7	–
James Trafford Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.4	−5.1
Divine Mukasa Midfielder	63	0	0	0.09	39.0	–
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	63	0	0	–	35.9	−12.8