DFB Pokal 25/26, Quarterfinals · 4 Feb 2026

Holstein Kiel 0–3 VfB Stuttgart

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Holstein Kiel favourites at 44%.

VfB Stuttgart won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Deniz Undav, 66.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Deniz Undav +13.5, Atakan Karazor +8.1.

Well below it: Timon Weiner −23.8, Jamie Leweling −22.5, John Tolkin −14.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Feb 2026	W 1–0	v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v BSC Young Boys Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 3–0	at Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at AS Roma Europa League
18 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Marcus Müller Forward	11	0.03	58.6	–
Ivan Nekić Defender	85	0.08	54.0	–
Marko Ivezić Defender	90	–	52.5	–
Umut Tohumcu Midfielder	54	0.05	48.1	+5.9
John Tolkin Midfielder	90	–	47.1	−14.4
David Zec Defender	90	–	45.1	+1.1
Kasper Davidsen Midfielder	70	–	44.1	–
Jonas Meffert Midfielder	90	–	43.1	−4.3
Andu Kelati Forward	85	0.08	40.5	–
Phil Harres Forward	90	0.10	39.0	–
Aldin Jakupovic Forward	20	0.12	38.2	–
Adrián Kaprálik Forward	70	0.07	38.1	–
Timon Weiner Goalkeeper	90	–	37.4	−23.8
Jonas Therkelsen Midfielder	20	–	37.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Finn Jeltsch Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Chema Andrés Midfielder	1	0	0	–	96.7	–
Deniz Undav Forward	90	1	1	0.97	66.3	+13.5
Chris Führich Midfielder	89	1	0	0.47	62.4	+5.6
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder	89	0	0	0.22	61.5	+4.3
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	89	0	0	–	57.0	+7.7
Ermedin Demirović Forward	9	0	1	–	56.8	–
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	90	1	0	0.46	56.4	+8.1
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.1	+5.6
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	90	0	0	0.03	52.8	−3.2
Jeff Chabot Defender	90	0	0	–	45.1	−11.6
Ramon Hendriks Defender	90	0	0	–	42.4	−8.2
Josha Vagnoman Defender	90	0	0	–	32.2	−9.7
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	81	0	0	0.21	28.7	−22.5
Badredine Bouanani Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–