Bundesliga 25/26 · 18 Jan 2026

VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Chances everywhere: 3.8 xG · Standout: Woo-Yeong Jeong scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Leopold Querfeld

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.9 – 0.8
Actual xG: 2.1 – 1.7
Goals: 1 – 1

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 64%.

A draw the chances agree with: 2.1 xG to 1.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Chris Führich, 69.0 in 76′.

Well above their usual level: Chris Führich +18.2, Aljoscha Kemlein +13.9, Ramon Hendriks +10.6.

Well below it: Jamie Leweling −17.2, Nikolas Nartey −15.6, Danilho Doekhi −11.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

VfB Stuttgart

13 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026	W 4–1	at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025	W 4–0	at SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025	W 4–1	v Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League

1. FC Union Berlin

15 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025	W 3–1	v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025	L 1–3	at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

Head to head

23 Aug 2025	1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Chema Andrés Midfielder	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Finn Jeltsch Defender	14	0	0	–	99.0	–
Chris Führich Midfielder	76	1	0	0.06	69.0	+18.2
Jeff Chabot Defender	90	0	0	–	64.2	+6.0
Ramon Hendriks Defender	89	0	1	–	61.2	+10.6
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	90	0	0	–	53.0	+6.7
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.5	+2.9
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	90	0	0	0.02	50.3	−6.0
Deniz Undav Forward	90	0	0	0.64	49.2	−8.1
Ermedin Demirović Forward	15	0	0	–	46.6	–
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	89	0	0	0.32	46.0	−7.8
Jeremy Arevalo Forward	1	0	0	–	44.0	–
Josha Vagnoman Defender	89	0	0	1.07	40.6	−5.6
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	75	0	0	–	38.3	−15.6
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	90	0	0	–	34.9	−17.2
Lorenz Assignon Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

1. FC Union Berlin

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Woo-Yeong Jeong Forward	15	1	0	0.45	100.0	–
Stanley Nsoki Defender	21	0	1	0.11	80.3	–
Ilyas Ansah Forward	21	0	0	–	74.4	–
Oliver Burke Forward	1	0	0	0.05	59.2	–
Aljoscha Kemlein Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.7	+13.9
Andrej Ilić Forward	89	0	0	0.69	54.6	+8.3
Janik Haberer Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	53.3	+4.0
Josip Juranović Defender	69	0	0	0.01	50.0	–
Frederik Rønnow Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.5	+0.1
Leopold Querfeld Defender	90	0	0	0.07	46.7	−9.8
Livan Burcu Forward	69	0	0	0.06	46.5	–
Diogo Leite Defender	90	0	0	0.05	45.8	+0.9
Danilho Doekhi Defender	90	0	0	–	44.5	−11.7
Rani Khedira Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	43.6	−0.2
András Schäfer Midfielder	75	0	0	0.07	40.9	−3.8