Bundesliga 25/26 · 1 Feb 2026

VfB Stuttgart 1–0 SC Freiburg

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 57%.

VfB Stuttgart won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Noah Atubolu, 65.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Noah Atubolu +13.3, Matthias Ginter +11.6, Alexander Nübel +9.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v BSC Young Boys Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 3–0	at Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at AS Roma Europa League
18 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga

29 Jan 2026	L 0–1	at Lille Europa League
25 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League
18 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga

13 Sep 2025	SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ermedin Demirović Forward	13	1	0	0.06	100.0	–
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder	77	0	0	0.20	62.7	+5.6
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	31	0	0	–	60.0	–
Jeff Chabot Defender	90	0	0	0.02	58.8	+3.7
Chema Andrés Midfielder	13	0	0	–	57.9	–
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.5	+9.3
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	90	0	0	–	56.6	+8.7
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	59	0	0	0.27	53.1	−0.0
Chris Führich Midfielder	31	0	0	–	50.0	–
Deniz Undav Forward	89	0	1	0.88	47.8	−5.7
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	47.7	−4.7
Finn Jeltsch Defender	90	0	0	–	46.4	−4.2
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	77	0	0	–	45.8	−1.1
Ramon Hendriks Defender	59	0	0	0.03	45.2	−5.3
Josha Vagnoman Defender	90	0	0	0.12	45.1	+1.9
Luca Jaquez Defender	1	0	0	–	32.1	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Bruno Ogbus Defender	12	0.11	72.8	–
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder	14	–	69.7	–
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper	90	–	65.9	+13.3
Matthias Ginter Defender	90	0.07	64.2	+11.6
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder	76	0.12	52.2	+6.5
Jan-Niklas Beste Midfielder	68	–	51.9	+4.2
Igor Matanović Forward	90	–	50.2	−0.4
Jordy Makengo Defender	90	–	49.7	+5.2
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder	90	0.03	47.4	+5.1
Derry Scherhant Forward	76	0.26	46.5	−6.7
Johan Manzambi Midfielder	68	0.09	45.8	−4.9
Maximilian Rosenfelder Defender	90	–	44.6	−2.3
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder	22	–	39.4	–
Philipp Treu Defender	78	0.04	37.8	−3.9
Cyriaque Irié Midfielder	22	–	37.3	–
Lucas Höler Forward	14	–	32.9	–