Bundesliga 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Köln

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made SC Freiburg favourites at 64%.

SC Freiburg won and made the better chances: 2.2 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alessio Castro-Montes, 87.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Alessio Castro-Montes +36.2, Sebastian Sebulonsen +27.4, Tom Krauß +17.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

22 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League
18 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v Hamburger SV Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025	W 4–3	at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

17 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026	L 1–3	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025	L 0–1	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga

31 Aug 2025	1. FC Köln 4–1 SC Freiburg Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.8	+6.9
Igor Matanović Forward	76	1	0	1.86	59.2	+9.7
Matthias Ginter Defender	90	0	1	–	56.4	+4.5
Lucas Höler Forward	14	0	0	0.07	56.1	–
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder	90	0	1	–	51.5	+4.7
Derry Scherhant Forward	76	1	0	0.20	51.2	−2.9
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder	27	0	0	–	43.8	–
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder	63	0	0	–	43.8	−3.4
Jan-Niklas Beste Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	43.4	−6.6
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder	14	0	0	–	41.5	–
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	41.4	−4.1
Bruno Ogbus Defender	28	0	0	–	40.5	–
Maximilian Rosenfelder Defender	62	0	0	0.02	38.2	−10.8
Philipp Treu Defender	90	0	0	–	37.0	−5.0
Lukas Kübler Defender	55	0	0	–	36.3	−15.4
Christian Günter Defender	35	0	0	–	26.3	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Midfielder	13	–	89.1	–
Alessio Castro-Montes Midfielder	90	0.17	87.3	+36.2
Sebastian Sebulonsen Defender	90	0.03	68.7	+27.4
Tom Krauß Midfielder	77	–	66.1	+17.7
Kristoffer Lund Defender	77	–	61.5	+17.2
Rav van den Berg Defender	87	–	54.5	+8.7
Marius Bülter Forward	90	0.29	54.0	+8.5
Ragnar Ache Forward	90	0.45	53.9	+1.7
Eric Martel Midfielder	13	–	53.7	–
Marvin Schwäbe Goalkeeper	90	–	51.7	+1.7
Jan Uwe Thielmann Midfielder	67	–	50.7	+8.4
Fynn Schenten Forward	9	0.03	47.8	–
Linton Maina Midfielder	86	0.31	42.9	−3.1
Jakub Kamiński Midfielder	90	–	40.4	−3.2
Said El Mala Midfielder	23	0.02	39.5	–
Luca Waldschmidt Forward	10	–	34.5	–