Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 10 Jan 2026

SC Freiburg 2–1 Hamburger SV

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.9
Actual xG
2.8 – 0.7
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made SC Freiburg favourites at 64%.

SC Freiburg won and made the better chances: 2.8 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Philipp Lienhart, 64.6 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Philipp Lienhart +12.6, Noah Atubolu +9.7, Miro Muheim +9.5.

Well below it: Daniel Elfadli −31.0, Lukas Kübler −12.6, Yuito Suzuki −10.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

SC Freiburg

20 Dec 2025W 4–3at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025D 1–1v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025W 1–0v Red Bull Salzburg Europa League
6 Dec 2025L 1–2at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025W 2–0v Darmstadt 98 DFB-Pokal

Hamburger SV

20 Dec 2025D 1–1v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025L 1–4at TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025W 3–2v SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025D 0–0v Holstein Kiel DFB-Pokal
30 Nov 2025W 2–1v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

SC Freiburg

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jan-Niklas Beste Midfielder1101–100.0–
Igor Matanović Forward25101.1593.7–
Philipp Lienhart Defender4500–64.6+12.6
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper9000–59.3+9.7
Johan Manzambi Midfielder89000.1555.1+2.0
Matthias Ginter Defender9000–54.9+3.9
Vincenzo Grifo Midfielder65100.7950.9−6.2
Philipp Treu Defender7900–46.1+2.7
Christian Günter Defender9000–45.0+7.0
Lucas Höler Forward65000.4544.3−3.9
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder90000.0941.2−6.0
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder800–39.0–
Patrick Osterhage Midfielder2500–39.0–
Anthony Jung Defender4500–38.9−9.2
Lukas Kübler Defender90000.0937.8−12.6
Yuito Suzuki Midfielder90000.1337.2−10.5

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Giorgi Gocholeishvili Defender1100–91.5–
Jordan Torunarigha Defender3300–65.0–
Miro Muheim Midfielder90010.0762.4+9.5
Luka Vušković Defender90100.2660.4+2.9
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit Forward1200–60.3–
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper9000–54.8+6.4
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder9000–52.4+3.7
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward5700–47.9−4.8
Nicolás Capaldo Defender90000.1446.6−1.0
Guilherme Ramos Defender1100–45.6–
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder89000.0245.3−5.2
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward10000.0544.4–
Fábio Vieira Midfielder79000.0444.3−5.6
Damion Downs Forward78000.0339.5−0.8
Bakery Jatta Midfielder79000.0536.8–
Daniel Elfadli Defender5100–17.9−31.0