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Hamburger SV
Daniel Fernandes

Daniel Fernandes

Goalkeeper · Hamburger SV · 33 · Portugal

534 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
48.2
Bundesliga 26/27, 6 matches
Last 5 weeks
44.8
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€1.2M
+€300k (+33%) since 19 Jun 2025
Transfermarkt, 27 May 2026

Photo: Lanthan2003, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
13 Nov 1992
Height
188 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Wikipedia views
672 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

38 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 51.3 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 202619064.449.464.4
6–12 Oct 202619050.649.350.6
15–21 Sep 202619047.549.447.5
8–14 Sep 202619034.950.334.9
1–7 Sep 202619026.551.726.5
25–31 Aug 202619065.450.965.4
5–11 May 202619043.751.443.7
28 Apr – 4 May 202619058.051.158.0
21–27 Apr 202619048.851.248.8
14–20 Apr 202619055.051.055.0
7–13 Apr 202619049.851.149.8
31 Mar – 6 Apr 202619048.651.348.6
17–23 Mar 202619050.351.450.3
10–16 Mar 202619045.651.945.6
3–9 Mar 2026218058.051.358.0
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202619048.851.348.8
17–23 Feb 202619049.851.549.8
10–16 Feb 202619046.951.946.9
3–9 Feb 202619064.151.164.1
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619054.150.954.1
20–26 Jan 202619064.050.064.0
13–19 Jan 202619052.749.852.7
6–12 Jan 202619054.849.454.8
16–22 Dec 202519049.149.449.1
9–15 Dec 202519030.450.930.4
2–8 Dec 202519045.651.345.6
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202519050.451.450.4
18–24 Nov 202519061.150.761.1
4–10 Nov 202519045.451.245.4
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202519040.652.240.6
21–27 Oct 202519051.952.351.9
14–20 Oct 202519044.153.344.1
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202519064.952.264.9
23–29 Sep 202519059.351.559.3
16–22 Sep 202519062.150.362.1
9–15 Sep 202519038.751.938.7
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202519051.952.051.9
19–25 Aug 202519064.150.064.1

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−1.1 a week).

20.030.040.050.060.070.019 Aug30 Sep18 Nov6 Jan10 Feb17 Mar28 Apr15 SepScore 64.4Expected 49.4
534

On the breakout watchlist

A 7% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 50.5 over 2,880 minutes in the last year, down 2.2 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €1.2M against €1.2M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €1.2M +€300k (+33%) since 19 Jun 2025 27 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €1.3M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €480k–€808k −50% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −42% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Oriol Romeu at 33 (€1.2M, scoring 50.0) −67%; Christian Kabasele at 34 (€1.0M, scoring 50.0) −25%; Cédric Soares at 33 (€1.2M, scoring 48.1) −58%.
0€500K€1.0M€1.5M20162017201820192020202120222023202420252026€1.2M€1.3M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€1.3M
27 May 2026Transfermarkt€1.2M
19 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€1.2M
14 Oct 2025Transfermarkt€1.2M
19 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€900k
19 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€700k
6 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€700k
22 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€900k
15 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€1.2M
28 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€1.2M
30 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€1.2M
28 Sep 2022Transfermarkt€1.2M
16 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€900k
23 Mar 2022Transfermarkt€900k
15 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€600k
13 Oct 2021Transfermarkt€600k
16 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€500k
8 Feb 2021Transfermarkt€600k
18 Nov 2020Transfermarkt€600k
15 Jul 2020Transfermarkt€800k
8 Apr 2020Transfermarkt€1.0M
13 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€1.3M
12 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€1.3M
8 Jan 2019Transfermarkt€900k
19 Jun 2018Transfermarkt€1.0M
22 Jan 2018Transfermarkt€750k
19 Jun 2017Transfermarkt€600k
7 Feb 2017Transfermarkt€600k
22 Jul 2016Transfermarkt€750k
11 Feb 2016Transfermarkt€400k
22 Oct 2015Transfermarkt€500k
1 Jul 2015Transfermarkt€650k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

What the score is made of

Bundesliga 26/27: each part per 90 minutes against the average goalkeeper in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shot stopping −0.29
  • Claiming −0.56
  • Sweeping −0.18
  • Distribution +0.83

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

020040060080028 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Daniel Fernandes Hamburger SV · 3348.9€1.2M-Infinity%Compare
Scott Bain Falkirk FC · 34 · cheaper52.1€100kNaN%Compare
Jack James Walton Dundee United · 28 · cheaper47.3€600kNaN%Compare
Beau Reus Heart of Midlothian · 2447.8€1.5MNaN%Compare
Ivor Pandur Rangers · 2654.3€5.5MNaN%Compare
Alex Paulsen Motherwell · 24 · cheaper51.9€500kNaN%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Daniel Fernandes.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Bundesliga 26/27BundesligaHamburger SV654048.248.2
Bundesliga 25/26BundesligaHamburger SV332,97051.851.8

Latest matches

39 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
17 Oct 2026BundesligaVfB StuttgartW 1–09000–0.0064.4
10 Oct 2026Bundesligaat TSG HoffenheimW 3–29000–0.0150.6
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga1. FC KölnW 2–19000–0.0047.5
13 Sep 2026Bundesligaat RB LeipzigL 0–59000–0.0034.9
6 Sep 2026Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 05L 0–59000–0.0126.5
29 Aug 2026Bundesligaat Borussia DortmundL 0–29000–0.0165.4
10 May 2026BundesligaSC FreiburgW 3–29000–0.0043.7
2 May 2026Bundesligaat Eintracht FrankfurtW 2–19000–0.0158.0
25 Apr 2026BundesligaTSG HoffenheimL 1–29000–0.0148.8
18 Apr 2026Bundesligaat SV Werder BremenL 1–39000–0.0155.0
All 39 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
17 Oct 2026BundesligaVfB StuttgartW 1–09000–0.0064.4
10 Oct 2026Bundesligaat TSG HoffenheimW 3–29000–0.0150.6
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga1. FC KölnW 2–19000–0.0047.5
13 Sep 2026Bundesligaat RB LeipzigL 0–59000–0.0034.9
6 Sep 2026Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 05L 0–59000–0.0126.5
29 Aug 2026Bundesligaat Borussia DortmundL 0–29000–0.0165.4
10 May 2026BundesligaSC FreiburgW 3–29000–0.0043.7
2 May 2026Bundesligaat Eintracht FrankfurtW 2–19000–0.0158.0
25 Apr 2026BundesligaTSG HoffenheimL 1–29000–0.0148.8
18 Apr 2026Bundesligaat SV Werder BremenL 1–39000–0.0155.0
12 Apr 2026Bundesligaat VfB StuttgartL 0–49000–0.0149.8
4 Apr 2026BundesligaFC AugsburgD 1–19000–0.0048.6
21 Mar 2026Bundesligaat Borussia DortmundL 2–39000–0.0050.3
14 Mar 2026Bundesliga1. FC KölnD 1–19000–0.0045.6
7 Mar 2026Bundesligaat VfL WolfsburgW 2–19000–0.0258.6
4 Mar 2026BundesligaBayer 04 LeverkusenL 0–19000–0.0057.5
1 Mar 2026BundesligaRB LeipzigL 1–29000–0.0148.8
20 Feb 2026Bundesligaat 1. FSV Mainz 05D 1–19000–0.0049.8
14 Feb 2026Bundesliga1. FC Union BerlinW 3–29000–0.0146.9
7 Feb 2026Bundesligaat 1. FC HeidenheimW 2–09000–0.0064.1
31 Jan 2026BundesligaFC Bayern MünchenD 2–29000–0.0154.1
23 Jan 2026Bundesligaat FC St. PauliD 0–09000–0.0064.0
17 Jan 2026BundesligaBorussia M'gladbachD 0–09000–0.0052.7
10 Jan 2026Bundesligaat SC FreiburgL 1–29000–0.0154.8
20 Dec 2025BundesligaEintracht FrankfurtD 1–19000–0.0049.1
13 Dec 2025Bundesligaat TSG HoffenheimL 1–49000–0.0030.4
7 Dec 2025BundesligaSV Werder BremenW 3–29000–0.0045.6
30 Nov 2025BundesligaVfB StuttgartW 2–19000–0.0050.4
22 Nov 2025Bundesligaat FC AugsburgL 0–190000.260.0061.1
8 Nov 2025BundesligaBorussia DortmundD 1–19000–0.0045.4
2 Nov 2025Bundesligaat 1. FC KölnL 1–49000–0.0040.6
25 Oct 2025BundesligaVfL WolfsburgL 0–19000–0.0151.9
18 Oct 2025Bundesligaat RB LeipzigL 1–29000–0.0044.1
5 Oct 2025Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 05W 4–09000–0.0064.9
28 Sep 2025Bundesligaat 1. FC Union BerlinD 0–09000–0.0059.3
20 Sep 2025Bundesliga1. FC HeidenheimW 2–19000–0.0062.1
13 Sep 2025Bundesligaat FC Bayern MünchenL 0–59000–0.0038.7
29 Aug 2025BundesligaFC St. PauliL 0–29000–0.0051.9
24 Aug 2025Bundesligaat Borussia M'gladbachD 0–09000–0.0064.1