Bundesliga 25/26 · 21 Mar 2026

Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Borussia Dortmund favourites at 69%.

Borussia Dortmund won and made the better chances: 6.2 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ramy Bensebaini, 80.2 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Ramy Bensebaini +32.0, William Mikelbrencis +18.6, Philip Otele +16.9.

Well below it: Karim Adeyemi −17.0, Marcel Sabitzer −11.9, Julian Ryerson −11.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

14 Mar 2026	W 2–0	v FC Augsburg Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026	W 2–1	at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026	L 2–3	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026	L 1–4	at Atalanta Champions League
21 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga

14 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026	W 2–1	at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026	L 0–1	v Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga

8 Nov 2025	Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Ramy Bensebaini Defender	45	2	1.58	80.2	+32.0
Serhou Guirassy Forward	45	1	1.67	68.2	+11.0
Julian Ryerson Midfielder	90	0	0.01	49.7	−11.1
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender	90	0	0.08	48.7	−4.7
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder	90	0	0.06	48.1	+1.5
Felix Nmecha Midfielder	89	0	1.54	47.2	−0.1
Waldemar Anton Defender	90	0	0.26	46.8	−8.1
Maximilian Beier Forward	90	0	0.66	42.8	−5.0
Daniel Svensson Midfielder	58	0	–	42.3	−7.7
Luca Reggiani Defender	45	0	–	41.6	−7.7
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper	90	0	–	39.4	−9.5
Fábio Silva Forward	32	0	0.15	38.9	–
Julian Brandt Forward	1	0	–	38.1	–
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder	58	0	–	34.5	−11.9
Karim Adeyemi Forward	45	0	0.13	34.0	−17.0
Carney Chukwuemeka Midfielder	32	0	0.05	32.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Rayan Philippe Forward	1	0	0	–	80.3	–
Philip Otele Midfielder	68	1	0	0.53	62.7	+16.9
Luka Vušković Defender	90	0	0	–	62.2	+2.5
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder	89	0	1	–	58.2	+18.6
Jordan Torunarigha Defender	90	0	0	–	54.7	+3.1
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder	90	1	0	0.63	53.9	+7.8
Fábio Vieira Midfielder	67	0	1	0.04	52.2	+1.9
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.3	−3.9
Miro Muheim Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.3	+5.4
Warmed Omari Defender	89	0	0	–	48.3	+3.8
Otto Stange Forward	11	0	0	–	47.0	–
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.9	+1.1
Fabio Baldé Forward	22	0	0	–	45.6	–
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward	79	0	0	0.28	42.9	−3.2
Damion Downs Forward	23	0	0	–	36.6	–