Bundesliga 25/26 · 20 Feb 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made 1. FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 54%.

1. FSV Mainz 05 deserved more from the draw, creating 1.5 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jordan Torunarigha, 69.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jordan Torunarigha +19.2, Danny da Costa +8.6.

Well below it: Kacper Potulski −13.3, Miro Muheim −12.0, Phillipp Mwene −8.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

13 Feb 2026	L 0–4	at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v FC Augsburg Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026	W 2–1	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga

14 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026	W 2–0	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

5 Oct 2025	Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Paul Nebel Midfielder	9	0	0	0.07	94.6	–
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.4	+1.8
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder	90	1	0	0.32	56.3	+3.1
Danny da Costa Defender	90	0	1	–	51.9	+8.6
Stefan Posch Defender	90	0	0	0.04	48.9	−2.6
Silas Midfielder	45	0	0	0.01	48.4	+1.7
Dominik Kohr Defender	59	0	0	–	46.3	+0.2
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder	86	0	0	0.06	46.0	−0.1
Kaishu Sano Midfielder	90	0	0	–	43.4	−1.1
Phillip Tietz Forward	90	0	0	0.76	42.3	−1.7
Sheraldo Becker Forward	45	0	0	0.08	41.1	–
Kacper Potulski Defender	90	0	0	0.16	40.1	−13.3
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder	90	0	0	–	38.7	−8.9
Nikolas Veratschnig Defender	31	0	0	0.01	34.5	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Jordan Torunarigha Defender	90	0	–	69.4	+19.2
Giorgi Gocholeishvili Defender	2	0	–	61.5	–
Fábio Vieira Midfielder	90	1	0.21	56.8	+7.6
Nicolás Capaldo Defender	90	0	0.02	55.9	+5.4
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder	90	0	–	54.7	+7.0
Warmed Omari Defender	90	0	0.08	52.1	+6.8
Daniel Elfadli Defender	8	0	–	51.5	–
Yussuf Poulsen Forward	25	0	–	50.4	–
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper	90	0	–	49.8	−1.4
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward	87	0	0.13	49.0	+2.3
Philip Otele Midfielder	76	0	0.07	46.5	−3.3
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder	25	0	0.01	42.4	–
Robert Glatzel Forward	65	0	0.17	41.5	–
Bakery Jatta Midfielder	65	0	–	39.1	−1.4
Miro Muheim Midfielder	88	0	–	38.9	−12.0
Rayan Philippe Forward	14	0	0.01	28.1	–