FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 14 Feb 2026

Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 3.9 xG · Standout: Giorgi Gocholeishvili scored 93.2 · Breakout watch: Leopold Querfeld

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.8 – 2.1
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Hamburger SV favourites at 46%.

Hamburger SV won a close one on the chances: 1.8 xG to 2.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer, 70.0 in 87′.

Well above their usual level: Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer +26.5, Stanley Nsoki +20.0, Philip Otele +18.4.

Well below it: Miro Muheim −14.7, Frederik Rønnow −13.3, Jordan Torunarigha −11.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Hamburger SV

7 Feb 2026W 2–0at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026D 2–2v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026D 0–0at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026D 0–0v Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026L 1–2at SC Freiburg Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin

6 Feb 2026D 1–1v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026L 1–3at TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026L 0–3v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026D 1–1at VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026D 1–1at FC Augsburg Bundesliga

Head to head

28 Sep 20251. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Giorgi Gocholeishvili Defender1601–93.2–
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward87201.0970.0+26.5
Philip Otele Midfielder7200–66.4+18.4
Luka Vušković Defender90000.1765.2+10.3
Nicolás Capaldo Defender87100.2757.3+7.7
Fábio Vieira Midfielder90000.0254.9+5.2
Bakery Jatta Midfielder74010.0847.5+8.0
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper9000–46.9−5.8
Yussuf Poulsen Forward1800–46.4–
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder9000–46.1−2.1
Robert Glatzel Forward7201–43.0–
Jordan Torunarigha Defender9000–40.3−11.3
Miro Muheim Midfielder90000.1238.5−14.7
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder1100–38.3–
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward18000.0636.2–
Daniel Elfadli Defender1100–35.8–

1. FC Union Berlin

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Oliver Burke Forward1501–89.7–
András Schäfer Midfielder1500–89.6–
Livan Burcu Forward2900–75.2–
Alex Král Midfielder1500–67.0–
Leopold Querfeld Defender90100.7964.8+8.3
Andrej Ilić Forward90101.0261.4+15.9
Stanley Nsoki Defender8300–60.5+20.0
Tim Skarke Midfielder29000.0557.5–
Derrick Köhn Midfielder90000.0550.6+5.4
Christopher Trimmel Midfielder9000–50.0+0.2
Danilho Doekhi Defender90000.1549.2−1.2
Rani Khedira Midfielder75000.0544.7+1.6
Aljoscha Kemlein Midfielder8300–42.1−1.2
Woo-Yeong Jeong Forward6100–41.8−0.2
Ilyas Ansah Forward6100–39.9−2.6
Frederik Rønnow Goalkeeper9000–30.9−13.3