Bundesliga 25/26 · 1 Mar 2026

Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Hamburger SV favourites at 42%.

RB Leipzig won and made the better chances: 3.1 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Yan Diomande, 66.5 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Rômulo +13.5, Ridle Baku +11.3.

Well below it: Jordan Torunarigha −18.4, Philip Otele −15.2, Miro Muheim −11.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026	W 2–0	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga

21 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026	L 1–2	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga

18 Oct 2025	RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Fábio Vieira Midfielder	87	1	0	0.36	51.4	+0.9
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder	23	0	0	–	49.3	–
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.8	−2.4
Luka Vušković Defender	90	0	0	0.05	48.2	−8.0
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	43.0	−5.2
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward	67	0	0	0.01	42.3	−5.4
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward	23	0	0	–	41.7	–
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder	90	0	1	–	41.6	−0.9
Damion Downs Forward	67	0	0	0.10	39.9	−0.3
Rayan Philippe Forward	10	0	0	–	38.1	–
Yussuf Poulsen Forward	23	0	0	–	37.9	–
Miro Muheim Midfielder	90	0	0	–	37.1	−11.6
Warmed Omari Defender	70	0	0	–	36.7	−9.6
Philip Otele Midfielder	67	0	0	–	34.5	−15.2
Jordan Torunarigha Defender	90	0	0	–	33.5	−18.4
Nicolás Capaldo Defender	20	0	0	–	29.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Conrad Harder Forward	1	0	0	–	70.4	–
Yan Diomande Forward	89	1	0	0.48	66.5	+5.5
Rômulo Forward	89	1	1	1.35	65.2	+13.5
Willi Orbán Defender	90	0	0	–	62.3	+3.5
Ridle Baku Defender	90	0	1	–	59.0	+11.3
David Raum Defender	90	0	0	–	58.5	−2.2
Benjamin Henrichs Defender	1	0	0	–	55.1	–
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder	18	0	0	0.62	53.7	–
Maarten Vandevoordt Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.8	–
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder	90	0	0	0.35	46.7	−2.7
Castello Lukeba Defender	90	0	0	–	44.5	−7.3
Tidiam Gomis Forward	18	0	0	–	42.9	–
Antonio Nusa Forward	72	0	0	–	41.9	−9.7
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	72	0	0	0.26	41.0	−7.2
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	38.8	−10.8