FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 18 Oct 2025

RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.3 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.1 – 1.5
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made RB Leipzig favourites at 67%.

RB Leipzig won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Albert Sambi Lokonga, 70.7 in 76′.

Well above their usual level: Miro Muheim +19.4, Christoph Baumgartner +12.4.

Well below it: Rayan Philippe −20.7, David Raum −17.9, Ridle Baku −16.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

RB Leipzig

4 Oct 2025D 1–1at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
27 Sep 2025W 1–0at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025W 3–1v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025W 1–0at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025W 2–0v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

5 Oct 2025W 4–0v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
28 Sep 2025D 0–0at 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025W 2–1v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025L 0–5at FC Bayern München Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025L 0–2v FC St. Pauli Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder78200.6964.8+12.4
Castello Lukeba Defender9000–56.4−1.1
Antonio Nusa Forward89010.2256.1−2.9
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder2900–53.1–
Assan Ouédraogo Midfielder6100–48.7−5.9
Willi Orbán Defender9000–47.5−9.9
David Raum Defender90000.0447.4−17.9
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper9000–46.3−2.2
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder9000–46.2−3.1
Lukas Klostermann Defender100–42.3–
Xaver Schlager Midfielder1200–42.2–
Johan Bakayoko Forward6100–42.1−11.5
Yan Diomande Forward2900–42.1–
Rômulo Forward89010.0841.5−8.2
Ridle Baku Defender9000–37.8−16.8
Conrad Harder Forward1000.029.9–

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Guilherme Ramos Defender100–100.0–
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder76100.0470.7–
Luka Vušković Defender9000–66.8−0.2
Miro Muheim Midfielder90010.0564.9+19.4
Yussuf Poulsen Forward14000.1760.1–
Robert Glatzel Forward100–52.5–
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder9000–52.2+3.3
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward90000.0751.1+2.0
Daniel Elfadli Defender9000–50.9−0.9
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward76000.9550.3+7.8
Immanuel Pherai Midfielder1400–49.9–
Nicolás Capaldo Defender8900–48.8+7.8
Fabio Baldé Forward12000.0747.8–
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper9000–44.1−12.8
Rayan Philippe Forward89000.0741.3−20.7
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder84000.1239.8–