Bundesliga 25/26 · 4 Oct 2025

Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Borussia Dortmund favourites at 71%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.9 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: David Raum, 82.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: David Raum +18.9, Christoph Baumgartner +17.6, Ridle Baku +17.1.

Well below it: Karim Adeyemi −24.3, Serhou Guirassy −18.6, Antonio Nusa −12.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2025	W 4–1	v Athletic Club Champions League
27 Sep 2025	W 2–0	at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
21 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025	D 4–4	at Juventus Champions League
13 Sep 2025	W 2–0	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

27 Sep 2025	W 1–0	at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025	W 3–1	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025	W 1–0	at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025	W 2–0	v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025	L 0–6	at FC Bayern München Bundesliga

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Pascal Groß Midfielder	9	0	0	0.02	73.0	–
Yan Couto Midfielder	60	1	0	0.14	63.7	+11.9
Daniel Svensson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.3	+2.5
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender	90	0	0	0.02	52.7	–
Waldemar Anton Defender	90	0	0	0.03	49.7	−6.1
Ramy Bensebaini Defender	90	0	0	0.12	48.8	−8.1
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.2	−0.7
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder	20	0	0	0.10	47.9	–
Maximilian Beier Forward	81	0	0	–	43.9	−2.2
Felix Nmecha Midfielder	70	0	0	0.06	43.8	−8.6
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	42.1	−6.1
Serhou Guirassy Forward	81	0	1	0.14	41.8	−18.6
Fábio Silva Forward	9	0	0	–	37.8	–
Karim Adeyemi Forward	70	0	0	0.02	34.3	−24.3
Julian Brandt Forward	20	0	0	0.11	33.9	–
Julian Ryerson Midfielder	30	0	0	–	28.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
David Raum Defender	90	0	0	0.01	82.9	+18.9
Yan Diomande Forward	23	0	0	–	82.3	–
Ridle Baku Defender	90	0	0	–	68.8	+17.1
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder	90	1	0	0.63	67.4	+17.6
Conrad Harder Forward	1	0	0	–	66.5	–
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder	23	0	0	–	65.3	–
Castello Lukeba Defender	90	0	0	–	63.7	+7.4
Johan Bakayoko Forward	89	0	0	0.14	54.8	+1.4
Willi Orbán Defender	90	0	0	0.01	54.0	−4.8
Assan Ouédraogo Midfielder	67	0	1	0.08	52.7	–
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	51.7	+2.5
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.5	+1.2
Rômulo Forward	89	0	0	0.11	45.9	−4.7
Antonio Nusa Forward	67	0	0	–	42.1	−12.7
Andrija Maksimović Midfielder	1	0	0	–	36.1	–