FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 15 Feb 2026

RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 1.0
Actual xG
2.7 – 0.6
Goals
2 – 2

Footybot made RB Leipzig favourites at 63%.

RB Leipzig deserved more from the draw, creating 2.7 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Brajan Gruda, 68.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Brajan Gruda +18.4, Kamil Grabara +12.6, Xaver Schlager +9.8.

Well below it: Maarten Vandevoordt −16.1, Kento Shiogai −14.2, Christoph Baumgartner −11.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

RB Leipzig

11 Feb 2026L 0–2at FC Bayern München DFB-Pokal
8 Feb 2026W 2–1at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026L 1–2v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026D 1–1at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026W 3–0at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

7 Feb 2026L 1–2v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026L 0–1at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026L 1–3at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026D 1–1v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026W 2–1v FC St. Pauli Bundesliga

Head to head

27 Sep 2025VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Castello Lukeba Defender800–70.5–
Brajan Gruda Midfielder90110.8068.5+18.4
Yan Diomande Forward90100.3159.7−1.5
Johan Bakayoko Forward800–58.6–
Xaver Schlager Midfielder9000–58.4+9.8
Antonio Nusa Forward82000.0255.8+3.3
Max Finkgräfe Defender9000–52.9–
Conrad Harder Forward63000.6250.6+6.0
Rômulo Forward27000.4650.4–
Willi Orbán Defender90000.0749.0−10.7
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder8200–48.0−1.2
Ridle Baku Defender27000.0643.4–
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder90000.2937.5−11.3
Maarten Vandevoordt Goalkeeper6100–36.0−16.1
Benjamin Henrichs Defender63000.0633.8–
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper2900–5.9–

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mattias Svanberg Midfielder30100.2767.1–
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper9000–60.0+12.6
Mohamed Amoura Forward84100.1754.3+3.8
Denis Vavro Defender90000.0151.7−3.5
Saël Kumbedi Defender9000–48.8+8.7
Lovro Majer Midfielder84000.0546.1−2.6
Maximilian Arnold Midfielder9000–45.8−4.0
Moritz Jenz Defender9000–45.4−8.8
Adam Daghim Forward89010.0643.2−3.5
Dženan Pejčinović Forward1400–42.6–
Christian Eriksen Midfielder90000.0540.7−8.3
Kento Shiogai Forward6000–40.0−14.2
Jeanuël Belocian Defender9001–39.7−6.8
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender1400–39.5–
Jonas Adjei Adjetey Defender100–0.0–