Bundesliga 25/26 · 8 Feb 2026

1. FC Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made 1. FC Köln favourites at 49%.

RB Leipzig won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Willi Orbán, 68.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Christoph Baumgartner +22.3, Willi Orbán +11.5, Kristoffer Lund +8.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

30 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at SC Freiburg Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026	W 2–1	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026	L 1–3	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026	D 2–2	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

31 Jan 2026	L 1–2	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026	W 3–0	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026	L 1–5	v FC Bayern München Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v SC Freiburg Bundesliga

20 Sep 2025	RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kristoffer Lund Defender	78	0	0	0.06	55.2	+8.9
Tom Krauß Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.7	+0.4
Jan Uwe Thielmann Midfielder	89	1	0	0.04	49.1	+5.4
Marvin Schwäbe Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.8	−4.6
Ragnar Ache Forward	89	0	0	0.54	47.7	−3.9
Eric Martel Midfielder	90	0	0	–	47.4	−3.0
Jakub Kamiński Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.3	+2.4
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Midfielder	68	0	1	–	44.0	−9.2
Marius Bülter Forward	22	0	0	–	44.0	–
Cenk Özkaçar Defender	90	0	0	–	38.1	−10.4
Said El Mala Midfielder	90	0	0	0.31	37.5	−10.4
Luca Waldschmidt Forward	12	0	0	–	37.4	–
Felipe Chávez Midfielder	10	0	0	–	34.9	–
Fynn Schenten Forward	10	0	0	–	31.1	–
Sebastian Sebulonsen Defender	90	0	0	0.10	30.2	−11.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Max Finkgräfe Defender	1	0	0	0.08	87.5	–
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder	8	0	0	0.01	87.5	–
Willi Orbán Defender	90	0	0	–	68.4	+11.5
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder	90	2	0	0.63	68.3	+22.3
David Raum Defender	90	0	1	–	66.6	+8.6
Yan Diomande Forward	82	0	0	0.61	61.0	+1.4
Xaver Schlager Midfielder	90	0	1	0.12	57.2	+8.4
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder	90	0	0	–	55.5	+6.5
Antonio Nusa Forward	89	0	0	0.01	51.3	−8.2
Conrad Harder Forward	26	0	0	0.03	48.7	–
Ridle Baku Defender	26	0	0	–	48.5	–
Rômulo Forward	64	0	0	0.33	48.3	−3.6
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.9	−2.6
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	82	0	0	0.18	40.9	−6.6
Benjamin Henrichs Defender	64	0	0	0.06	40.9	–
Tidiam Gomis Forward	8	0	0	–	31.4	–