Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 7 Mar 2026

VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.1
Actual xG
2.2 – 1.8
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made VfL Wolfsburg favourites at 48%.

Hamburger SV won a close one on the chances: 1.8 xG to 2.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luka Vušković, 78.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Luka Vušković +21.0.

Well below it: Jeanuël Belocian −19.0, Yannick Gerhardt −13.7, Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer −12.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

VfL Wolfsburg

1 Mar 2026L 0–4at VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026L 2–3v FC Augsburg Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026D 2–2at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026L 1–2v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026L 0–1at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

4 Mar 2026L 0–1v Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026L 1–2v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026D 1–1at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026W 3–2v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026W 2–0at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

Head to head

25 Oct 2025Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Maximilian Arnold Midfielder1300–56.4–
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper9000–49.8+5.1
Moritz Jenz Defender7700–49.3−3.0
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender90000.1948.4−1.7
Christian Eriksen Midfielder90100.8148.3−1.0
Dženan Pejčinović Forward69000.4541.4−11.0
Kento Shiogai Forward21000.2040.9–
Jonas Adjei Adjetey Defender90000.0339.9−9.6
Vinícius Souza Midfielder9000–39.0−9.6
Mohamed Amoura Forward30000.0738.7–
Lovro Majer Midfielder3000–37.4–
Jesper Lindstrøm Midfielder60000.4334.9–
Yannick Gerhardt Midfielder6000–31.0−13.7
Adam Daghim Forward30000.0331.0–
Jeanuël Belocian Defender9000–27.5−19.0
Jan Bürger Defender60000.0324.6−8.8

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Luka Vušković Defender90100.7978.1+21.0
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward67100.8559.7+7.5
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper9000–58.6+4.4
Fábio Vieira Midfielder23000.0455.2–
Jordan Torunarigha Defender90000.0755.2+5.0
Giorgi Gocholeishvili Defender1300–52.0–
Yussuf Poulsen Forward2300–45.8–
Warmed Omari Defender4500–43.5−0.9
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder9000–43.0−5.0
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder8600–41.1−1.6
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder9000–39.6−7.6
Miro Muheim Midfielder9000–39.1−7.8
Philip Otele Midfielder67000.0338.8−8.9
Daniel Elfadli Defender4500–38.5−7.4
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward77000.0535.4−12.1
Damion Downs Forward1300–28.7–