Bundesliga 25/26 · 25 Oct 2025

Hamburger SV 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Hamburger SV favourites at 42%.

VfL Wolfsburg won although Hamburger SV made the better chances (2.8 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kamil Grabara, 72.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kamil Grabara +24.8, Adam Daghim +12.5, Miro Muheim +8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

18 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025	W 4–0	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
28 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025	L 0–5	at FC Bayern München Bundesliga

18 Oct 2025	L 0–3	v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025	L 1–3	at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
27 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
21 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025	D 3–3	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Luka Vušković Defender	90	0.13	67.4	+0.5
Fábio Vieira Midfielder	26	0.13	62.2	–
Miro Muheim Midfielder	90	0.26	56.3	+8.1
Immanuel Pherai Midfielder	9	0.05	53.3	–
Jean-Luc Dompé Forward	90	0.13	52.0	+2.4
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper	90	–	51.9	−3.1
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward	64	0.90	51.3	+7.6
Yussuf Poulsen Forward	26	0.20	49.9	–
Rayan Philippe Forward	90	0.29	46.0	−11.0
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder	64	0.24	43.9	–
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder	90	0.47	43.2	−6.2
Guilherme Ramos Defender	9	–	40.4	–
Nicolás Capaldo Defender	88	–	38.9	−3.9
Daniel Elfadli Defender	88	–	37.6	−14.0
William Mikelbrencis Midfielder	77	0.03	32.7	–
Fabio Baldé Forward	13	–	32.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	72.6	+24.8
Patrick Wimmer Midfielder	34	0	0	–	62.3	–
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender	90	0	0	–	60.4	+6.9
Adam Daghim Forward	90	1	0	0.14	57.5	+12.5
Bence Dárdai Midfielder	34	0	0	–	51.9	–
Mohamed Amoura Forward	56	0	0	0.01	47.0	−5.2
Jenson Seelt Defender	90	0	0	–	46.2	–
Vinícius Souza Midfielder	56	0	0	–	45.3	−1.9
Andreas Skov Olsen Midfielder	23	0	0	–	45.2	–
Jonas Wind Forward	67	0	0	–	43.6	–
Aaron Zehnter Defender	90	0	0	0.15	42.9	−3.8
Maximilian Arnold Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.3	−20.9
Christian Eriksen Midfielder	67	0	1	0.04	42.2	−11.1
Mattias Svanberg Midfielder	23	0	0	–	39.3	–
Saël Kumbedi Defender	85	0	0	–	38.9	–
Joakim Mæhle Defender	12	0	0	0.03	38.6	–