Bundesliga 26/27 · 10 Oct 2026

TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made TSG Hoffenheim favourites at 69%.

Hamburger SV won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Miro Muheim, 94.2 in 49′.

Well above their usual level: Miro Muheim +52.4, Albert Sambi Lokonga +21.4, Yussuf Poulsen +18.6.

Well below it: Koki Machida −18.3, Oliver Baumann −18.2, Ozan Kabak −13.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Sep 2026	L 1–3	at SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga
17 Sep 2026	L 0–2	at OFI Crete Europa League
12 Sep 2026	W 2–1	v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
5 Sep 2026	L 2–3	v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026	L 2–3	at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga

19 Sep 2026	W 2–1	v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
13 Sep 2026	L 0–5	at RB Leipzig Bundesliga
6 Sep 2026	L 0–5	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026	L 0–2	at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
24 Aug 2026	W 3–0	at SC Verl DFB-Pokal

25 Apr 2026	Hamburger SV 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025	TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SV Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bambasé Conté Midfielder	87	1	0	0.30	64.4	+10.7
Alexander Prass Midfielder	16	0	0	–	63.1	–
Leon Avdullahu Midfielder	90	0	0	–	58.3	+3.1
Valentin Gendrey Defender	9	0	0	–	58.1	–
Adam Daghim Forward	74	0	0	–	53.8	+3.9
Ozan Kabak Defender	90	0	0	0.05	50.9	−13.3
Koki Machida Defender	74	0	0	0.02	50.5	−18.3
Vladimír Coufal Defender	90	0	0	0.01	49.6	−7.5
Andrej Kramarić Forward	27	0	0	0.02	49.0	–
Tim Lemperle Forward	63	0	0	0.44	45.8	−0.1
Bernardo Defender	65	0	0	–	45.2	−3.7
Wouter Burger Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	44.7	−10.0
Fisnik Asllani Forward	63	0	1	0.11	43.2	−2.5
Robin Hranáč Defender	16	0	0	–	41.4	–
Adam Hložek Forward	27	0	0	–	36.0	–
Oliver Baumann Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	29.4	−18.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Terem Moffi Forward	14	1	0	0.09	100.0	–
Miro Muheim Midfielder	49	1	1	0.02	94.2	+52.4
Yussuf Poulsen Forward	59	1	0	0.34	68.2	+18.6
Albert Sambi Lokonga Midfielder	76	0	0	–	68.2	+21.4
Nicolás Capaldo Defender	90	0	0	0.05	64.7	+14.0
Sebastiaan Bornauw Defender	90	0	0	–	61.7	+11.7
Fábio Vieira Midfielder	90	0	0	0.39	60.6	+11.3
Warmed Omari Defender	90	0	0	–	58.8	+9.6
Nicolai Remberg Midfielder	41	0	0	0.18	54.6	–
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit Forward	14	0	0	0.04	54.0	–
Daniel Fernandes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.6	+2.8
Martin Adeline Midfielder	76	0	0	–	46.8	+4.7
Louis Lemke Defender	76	0	0	–	41.5	–
Kofi Jeremy Amoako Midfielder	14	0	0	–	40.6	–
Otto Stange Forward	31	0	0	–	40.6	–
David Møller Wolfe Defender	90	0	0	0.02	39.0	+0.1