FOOTYBOT
Matchday

FA Cup 25/26, Round 4 · 14 Feb 2026

Southampton 1–1 Leicester City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.3 – 1.3
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 60%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.3 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Harry Winks, 52.8 in 53′.

Well above their usual level: Olabade Aluko +11.5, Harry Winks +10.9, Stephy Mavididi +10.8.

Well below it: Finn Azaz −23.9, Cameron Bragg −16.2, Ryan Manning −15.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Southampton

10 Feb 2026W 4–3at Leicester City Championship
7 Feb 2026W 1–0v Watford Championship
31 Jan 2026W 2–0at Stoke City Championship
25 Jan 2026D 1–1at Portsmouth Championship
21 Jan 2026W 1–0v Sheffield United Championship

Leicester City

10 Feb 2026L 3–4v Southampton Championship
7 Feb 2026L 1–2at Birmingham City Championship
31 Jan 2026L 0–2v Charlton Athletic Championship
24 Jan 2026L 1–2v Oxford United Championship
20 Jan 2026D 1–1at Wrexham Championship

Head to head

10 Feb 2026Leicester City 3–4 Southampton Championship
25 Nov 2025Southampton 3–0 Leicester City Championship

Southampton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
James Bree Defender17100.1074.2–
George Long Goalkeeper12000–50.6–
Nicholas Oyekunle Forward36000.1544.7–
Elias Jelert Defender10300–42.8+2.0
Cyle Larin Forward84100.7642.6−6.9
Nathan Wood Defender12000–39.3−7.7
Barnaby Williams Midfielder5700–35.3–
Cameron Bragg Midfielder12000–34.6−16.2
Oriol Romeu Midfielder6300–34.5–
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh  Midfielder36000.0233.4–
Cameron Archer Forward75000.0331.1−14.8
Joshua Quarshie Defender12000–30.8−10.5
Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder84000.0629.6−13.8
Samuel Edozie Midfielder6300–27.1–
Ryan Manning Midfielder120000.1225.5−15.6
Finn Azaz Midfielder45000.0817.8−23.9

Leicester City

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Harry Winks Midfielder53000.0752.8+10.9
Olabade Aluko Defender79000.0551.3+11.5
Divine Mukasa Midfielder120000.1851.1+10.3
Ricardo Pereira Defender4100–50.1–
Benjamin Nelson Defender12000–49.3+6.2
Silko Thomas Forward1200–48.8–
Stephy Mavididi Midfielder108000.2248.0+10.8
Oliver Skipp Midfielder120100.0746.7+4.8
Louis Page Midfielder67000.2346.1+6.7
Jakub Stolarczyk Goalkeeper12000–44.9+0.9
Caleb Okoli Defender12000–44.4−0.8
Patson Daka Forward4100–44.1–
Jordan Ayew Forward79000.3444.1+2.4
Victor Kristiansen Defender6700–40.0–
Dujuan Richards Forward33000.0538.3–
Jeremy Monga Midfielder87000.0433.2+0.0
Luke Thomas Defender53000.0926.5−8.9