FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 7 Feb 2026

Southampton 1–0 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 0.8
Actual xG
0.9 – 0.7
Goals
1 – 0

Footybot made Southampton favourites at 59%.

Southampton won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Daniel Peretz, 57.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Daniel Peretz +9.8.

Well below it: Leo Scienza −19.5, Finn Azaz −9.7, Jack Stephens −9.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Southampton

31 Jan 2026W 2–0at Stoke City Championship
25 Jan 2026D 1–1at Portsmouth Championship
21 Jan 2026W 1–0v Sheffield United Championship
17 Jan 2026L 1–2v Hull City Championship
4 Jan 2026L 0–4at Middlesbrough Championship

Watford

3 Feb 2026D 0–0at Hull City Championship
31 Jan 2026L 0–2v Swansea City Championship
24 Jan 2026D 1–1at Blackburn Rovers Championship
21 Jan 2026D 1–1v Portsmouth Championship
17 Jan 2026L 0–2v Millwall Championship

Head to head

30 Aug 2025Watford 2–2 Southampton Championship

Southampton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Cyle Larin Forward23100.1460.5–
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper9000–57.1+9.8
Ross Stewart Forward67000.1840.4−4.8
Caspar Jander Midfielder9000–40.0−0.2
Tom Fellows Midfielder8900–36.9−1.7
Flynn Downes Midfielder3800–36.5–
Shea Charles Midfielder5200–35.8−9.6
Welington Defender9000–35.4+0.2
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender9000–32.8−7.5
Jack Stephens Defender9000–32.7−9.7
Nathan Wood Defender100–32.1–
Finn Azaz Midfielder90000.0229.2−9.7
James Bree Defender9001–28.8−0.4
Leo Scienza Midfielder67000.5318.3−19.5
Samuel Edozie Midfielder2300–15.6–

Watford

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jeremy Petris Defender1000–95.9–
Saba Goglichidze Defender2000–53.6–
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper9000–52.7+0.9
Edo Kayembe Midfielder90000.1445.0+0.7
Stephen Mfuni Defender7000–43.3–
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder8500–39.6+4.2
James Abankwah Defender9000–39.4−0.5
Imrân Louza Midfielder90000.0239.1+1.9
Othmane Maamma Midfielder86000.1638.6+7.6
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder90000.0737.9+4.7
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward2700–35.7–
Mamadou Doumbia Forward63000.1833.9−6.5
Jeremy Ngakia Defender85000.0731.9+2.9
Formose Mendy Defender1000–30.4–
Marc Bola Defender90000.0429.8−0.5
Kwadwo Baah Forward900–20.8–