Championship 25/26 · 21 Jan 2026

Watford 1–1 Portsmouth

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Watford favourites at 61%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.8 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Regan Poole, 64.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Regan Poole +22.8, Connor Ogilvie +13.3, Mamadou Doumbia +13.1.

Well below it: Tom Ince −14.2, Matthew Pollock −11.7, Jordan Lee Williams −10.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Jan 2026	L 0–2	v Millwall Championship
1 Jan 2026	W 3–0	v Birmingham City Championship
29 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Norwich City Championship
26 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Leicester City Championship
20 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Stoke City Championship

17 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
1 Jan 2026	L 0–5	at Bristol City Championship
29 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Charlton Athletic Championship
26 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Derby County Championship

1 Oct 2025	Portsmouth 2–2 Watford Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mamadou Doumbia Forward	45	1	0	0.09	56.1	+13.1
James Abankwah Defender	81	0	0	–	52.5	+10.7
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.4	−3.5
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	44.9	+5.7
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	90	0	1	0.11	43.2	+2.4
Rocco Vata Forward	26	0	0	0.16	42.7	–
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder	45	0	0	0.03	38.2	+6.1
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	45	0	0	–	37.4	−5.9
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	9	0	0	0.04	35.4	–
Imrân Louza Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	33.1	−7.6
Marc Bola Defender	90	0	0	0.04	30.8	−3.0
Jeremy Ngakia Defender	90	0	0	0.03	29.9	−3.8
Matthew Pollock Defender	45	0	0	–	29.8	−11.7
Tom Ince Midfielder	81	0	0	0.03	28.9	−14.2
Othmane Maamma Midfielder	64	0	0	0.13	25.6	−5.4
Nestory Irankunda Forward	9	0	0	–	13.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Luke Le Roux Midfielder	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
John Swift Midfielder	1	0	0	0.01	100.0	–
Ibane Bowat Defender	1	0	0	0.13	94.3	–
Regan Poole Defender	90	0	0	0.08	64.8	+22.8
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.5	+2.8
Connor Ogilvie Defender	90	0	0	–	48.5	+13.3
Colby Bishop Forward	90	0	0	–	42.7	+5.1
Zak Swanson Defender	45	0	0	–	39.9	+2.8
Conor Chaplin Midfielder	90	0	1	0.10	38.3	+4.7
Ebou Adams Midfielder	89	0	0	0.11	38.1	−1.9
Andre Dozzell Midfielder	90	0	0	–	35.1	−4.2
Adrian Segečić Midfielder	89	1	0	0.20	34.5	−0.6
Millenic Alli Midfielder	89	0	0	0.03	34.0	–
Jacob Farrell Defender	17	0	0	–	29.2	–
Terry Devlin Defender	83	0	0	–	28.5	−4.3
Jordan Lee Williams Defender	45	0	0	–	24.7	−10.4