FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Serie A 26/27 · 25 Oct 2026

Inter 2–1 Fiorentina

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.9
Actual xG
3.4 – 0.2
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Inter favourites at 64%.

Inter won and made the better chances: 3.4 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Hakan Çalhanoğlu, 75.2 in 78′.

Well above their usual level: David De Gea +12.9, Cher Ndour +9.6, Radu Drăguşin +9.2.

Well below it: Francesco Pio Esposito −15.3, Marin Pongračić −9.8, Alessandro Bastoni −9.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Inter

21 Oct 2026W 1–0v Shakhtar Donetsk Champions League
17 Oct 2026W 3–1at Bologna Serie A
13 Oct 2026L 3–4v Club Brugge KV Champions League
10 Oct 2026W 3–0v Parma Serie A
19 Sep 2026D 2–2at AS Roma Serie A

Fiorentina

18 Oct 2026L 1–3v Como Serie A
10 Oct 2026L 1–2at Genoa Serie A
20 Sep 2026D 1–1v SSC Napoli Serie A
15 Sep 2026W 3–0v Pisa Coppa Italia
11 Sep 2026W 4–2at Venezia Serie A

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Fiorentina 1–1 Inter Serie A
29 Oct 2025Inter 3–0 Fiorentina Serie A

Inter

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder12100.79100.0–
Hakan Çalhanoğlu Midfielder78000.1175.2+8.2
Federico Dimarco Midfielder13000.0867.0–
Petar Sučić Midfielder12000.0666.8–
Matteo Lavelli Forward16000.5361.5–
Carlos Augusto Defender90000.2560.4+8.2
Manuel Akanji Defender90000.0858.6−0.2
Yann Bisseck Defender9000–58.2−1.5
Marcus Thuram Forward90100.8356.0+3.5
Andy Diouf Midfielder90010.1355.6−1.5
Nicolò Barella Midfielder85000.1453.3−7.4
Henrikh Mkhitaryan Midfielder78000.1450.1−1.8
Ange-Yoan Bonny Forward26000.1248.1–
Alessandro Bastoni Defender7700–45.0−9.4
Ivan Provedel Goalkeeper9000–39.9−7.4
Francesco Pio Esposito Forward64000.1539.1−15.3

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Viery Defender3900–64.0–
David De Gea Goalkeeper9000–59.9+12.9
Radu Drăguşin Defender9000–59.0+9.2
Cher Ndour Midfielder90000.0256.5+9.6
Franco Mastantuono Forward75000.0648.5−4.8
João Mário Defender1800–46.3–
Álex Jiménez Defender75100.0244.4−4.2
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder9001–44.2−4.0
Wilfried Gnonto Forward15000.0543.1–
Alieu Njie Forward8300–42.9−5.8
Marin Pongračić Defender5100–42.6−9.8
Mateo Pellegrino Forward83000.0540.6−3.1
Beto Forward1800–39.3–
Víctor Valdepeñas Defender90000.0336.1+1.5
Marco Brescianini Midfielder9000–34.1−7.4
Dodô Defender1500–21.9–