Liga Portugal 26/27 · 25 Oct 2026

CD Nacional 1–0 Sporting Braga

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Sporting Braga favourites at 47%.

CD Nacional won although Sporting Braga made the better chances (1.7 xG to 0.5): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: João Moutinho, 64.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Bright Arrey-Mbi +20.4, Miguel Baeza +17.5, Victor Gómez +15.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Oct 2026	L 0–1	at AD Sanjoanense Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 2026	L 2–3	at Rio Ave Liga Portugal
19 Sep 2026	L 0–4	v Famalicão Liga Portugal
12 Sep 2026	L 1–3	v FC Alverca Liga Portugal
5 Sep 2026	L 0–2	at Sporting CP Liga Portugal

22 Oct 2026	W 2–0	v KAA Gent Conference League
19 Oct 2026	L 1–2	v Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
15 Oct 2026	L 0–3	at FC København Conference League
9 Oct 2026	L 1–3	v Sporting CP Liga Portugal
20 Sep 2026	D 0–0	at Santa Clara Liga Portugal

28 Feb 2026	CD Nacional 1–2 Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
23 Nov 2025	Sporting Braga 4–2 CD Nacional Taça de Portugal
28 Sep 2025	Sporting Braga 0–1 CD Nacional Liga Portugal

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Matchoi Djaló Midfielder	22	0	0	–	83.7	–
Miguel Baeza Midfielder	86	1	0	0.08	59.5	+17.5
Renato Marin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.0	+11.8
Ze Vitor Defender	90	0	0	0.17	48.7	−0.6
Matheus Dias Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	48.6	+2.6
Chiheb Labidi Midfielder	78	0	0	–	47.3	+1.0
Williams Kokolo Defender	90	0	0	–	41.0	+0.3
Min-kyu Song Midfielder	68	0	1	–	40.4	−7.0
Abdel Kader Njoya Forward	78	0	0	–	39.6	–
Stavros Gavriel Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	39.3	+0.5
Pablo Messias Cardozo Forward	12	0	0	–	38.5	–
Deivison Souza Brito Midfielder	22	0	0	0.05	37.9	–
Markus Jensen Midfielder	68	0	0	–	36.7	−3.3
Danel Dongmo Midfielder	12	0	0	–	34.6	–
Francisco Gonçalves Defender	90	0	0	–	32.0	−15.0
Daniel Júnior Midfielder	9	0	0	–	30.9	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
João Moutinho Midfielder	45	0.06	64.0	+7.9
Sergio Barcia Defender	90	0.03	63.5	+14.7
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender	90	0.25	61.9	+12.7
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender	76	–	61.6	+20.4
Denis Huseinbašić Midfielder	14	0.02	59.6	–
Victor Gómez Midfielder	90	0.06	59.4	+15.4
Tomás Marqués Midfielder	45	–	56.6	–
Fran Navarro Forward	28	0.52	53.7	–
Ricardo Horta Forward	90	0.05	53.0	−2.9
Pau Víctor Forward	90	0.20	51.6	+0.0
Gabriel Silva Forward	45	0.20	50.9	+4.6
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder	45	0.02	47.7	−4.2
Jovan Milošević Forward	62	0.20	43.5	−0.8
Jean-Baptiste Gorby Midfielder	45	–	42.4	−7.1
Bernardo Fontes Goalkeeper	90	–	40.6	−8.5
Gabriel Martínez Midfielder	45	0.07	40.1	−8.4