FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Serie A 25/26 · 14 Mar 2026

Inter 1–1 Atalanta

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Standout: Nikola Krstović scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.9
Actual xG
1.6 – 1.3
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Inter favourites at 66%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.6 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Henrikh Mkhitaryan, 62.1 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Henrikh Mkhitaryan +9.5, Francesco Pio Esposito +9.4, Carlos Augusto +8.9.

Well below it: Lazar Samardžić −19.2, Gianluca Scamacca −12.6, Federico Dimarco −10.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Inter

8 Mar 2026L 0–1at AC Milan Serie A
28 Feb 2026W 2–0v Genoa Serie A
24 Feb 2026L 1–2v Bodø/Glimt Champions League
21 Feb 2026W 2–0at Lecce Serie A
18 Feb 2026L 1–3at Bodø/Glimt Champions League

Atalanta

10 Mar 2026L 1–6v FC Bayern München Champions League
7 Mar 2026D 2–2v Udinese Serie A
1 Mar 2026L 1–2at Sassuolo Serie A
25 Feb 2026W 4–1v Borussia Dortmund Champions League
22 Feb 2026W 2–1v SSC Napoli Serie A

Head to head

28 Dec 2025Atalanta 0–1 Inter Serie A

Inter

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Henrikh Mkhitaryan Midfielder4500–62.1+9.5
Luís Henrique Midfielder2500–61.3–
Ange-Yoan Bonny Forward2500–60.6–
Carlos Augusto Defender9000–60.5+8.9
Stefan de Vrij Defender1000–60.2–
Federico Dimarco Midfielder65000.1958.3−10.9
Yann Bisseck Defender9000–58.1+8.6
Francesco Pio Esposito Forward65100.1557.9+9.4
Nicolò Barella Midfielder76010.0651.9−0.7
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper9000–48.8−0.3
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder90000.0447.6−8.9
Manuel Akanji Defender80000.0747.2−6.6
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder90000.3745.4−4.2
Petar Sučić Midfielder4500–45.3−7.3
Marcus Thuram Forward90000.7245.2−5.3
Davide Frattesi Midfielder1400–30.3–

Atalanta

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nikola Krstović Forward39100.87100.0–
Kamaldeen Sulemana Forward25000.3374.7–
Éderson Midfielder3800–73.1–
Isak Hien Defender2500–64.0–
Giorgio Scalvini Defender9000–53.6+2.9
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper9000–48.9−1.4
Charles De Ketelaere Forward1400–48.3–
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder90000.0948.2+0.2
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder9000–47.8−6.5
Berat Djimsiti Defender9000–46.7−3.8
Sead Kolašinac Defender6500–45.5−4.9
Marten de Roon Midfielder7600–45.5−3.7
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder6500–43.5−3.0
Mario Pašalić Midfielder9000–43.2−8.9
Gianluca Scamacca Forward51000.0439.6−12.6
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder5200–35.4−19.2