Championship 25/26 · 17 Mar 2026

Watford 3–1 Wrexham

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Watford favourites at 53%.

Watford won and made the better chances: 2.0 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dominic Hyam, 59.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Dominic Hyam +23.7, Max Cleworth +11.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

14 Mar 2026	L 1–3	at Stoke City Championship
10 Mar 2026	D 1–1	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
27 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Bristol City Championship
24 Feb 2026	L 0–2	v Ipswich Town Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v Derby County Championship

13 Mar 2026	W 2–0	v Swansea City Championship
10 Mar 2026	L 1–2	v Hull City Championship
28 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Charlton Athletic Championship
24 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Portsmouth Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 5–3	v Ipswich Town Championship

13 Dec 2025	Wrexham 2–2 Watford Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Edoardo Bove Midfielder	15	1	0	0.97	68.5	–
Formose Mendy Defender	15	0	0	–	49.9	–
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.8	−5.1
Pierre Ekwah Midfielder	71	0	0	0.01	45.4	–
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	90	0	0	0.29	42.7	+5.0
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder	83	0	1	0.01	42.7	+5.2
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	83	1	0	0.09	41.9	+1.3
Matthew Pollock Defender	90	0	0	–	39.5	−0.4
Marc Bola Defender	90	1	0	0.08	37.1	+7.2
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder	19	0	0	–	36.7	–
Nestory Irankunda Forward	72	0	1	0.06	34.1	−4.6
Saba Goglichidze Defender	90	0	0	0.35	33.4	−9.4
Imrân Louza Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	32.6	−3.8
Mamadou Doumbia Forward	18	0	0	0.02	27.4	–
James Abankwah Defender	89	0	0	0.02	22.7	−8.9
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dominic Hyam Defender	90	0	0	0.06	59.7	+23.7
Issa Kaboré Midfielder	26	0	0	–	51.0	–
Max Cleworth Defender	90	1	0	0.05	43.0	+11.8
Josh Windass Forward	45	0	0	–	43.0	+3.9
Davis Keillor-Dunn Forward	26	0	0	0.10	42.4	–
Arthur Okonkwo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	37.4	−9.2
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	37.3	+1.5
Sam Smith Forward	75	0	0	0.04	37.1	−5.0
George Thomason Midfielder	90	0	0	–	36.9	−0.4
Bailey Cadamarteri Forward	15	0	0	0.03	36.1	–
Oliver Rathbone Forward	64	0	1	–	35.9	−5.5
Nathan Broadhead Forward	45	0	0	–	35.7	−5.7
Jay Rodriguez Forward	10	0	0	0.02	34.8	–
Ryan Longman Midfielder	64	0	0	–	32.5	−4.1
Zak Vyner Defender	88	0	0	0.02	28.9	+0.5
Callum Doyle Defender	90	0	0	–	13.2	−13.4