Championship 25/26 · 14 Mar 2026

Stoke City 3–1 Watford

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Stoke City 37%, the draw 32%, Watford 31%.

Stoke City won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Egil Selvik, 55.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Million Manhoef +16.7, Sorba Thomas +9.4, Maksym Talovierov +8.1.

Well below it: James Abankwah −27.0, Tom Ince −15.9, Junior Tchamadeu −14.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

10 Mar 2026	D 3–3	v Ipswich Town Championship
7 Mar 2026	L 0–2	at Swansea City Championship
28 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Coventry City Championship
25 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Oxford United Championship
21 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Leicester City Championship

10 Mar 2026	D 1–1	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
27 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Bristol City Championship
24 Feb 2026	L 0–2	v Ipswich Town Championship
21 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v Derby County Championship
14 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Preston North End Championship

20 Dec 2025	Watford 1–0 Stoke City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sam Gallagher Forward	19	1	0	0.26	75.9	–
Tommy Simkin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.5	+4.3
Million Manhoef Midfielder	79	2	0	0.51	44.5	+16.7
Maksym Talovierov Defender	90	0	0	0.34	42.2	+8.1
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder	14	0	0	–	39.2	–
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	38.2	+4.1
Sorba Thomas Midfielder	90	0	1	–	36.9	+9.4
Steven N'Zonzi Midfielder	83	0	0	0.07	35.3	−3.1
Milan Smit Forward	71	0	1	0.16	35.3	−10.1
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder	79	0	0	0.03	31.7	−3.4
Ashley Phillips Defender	90	0	0	0.06	31.6	−10.1
Ben Gibson Defender	20	0	0	–	29.5	–
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Midfielder	11	0	0	–	26.1	–
Eric Bocat Defender	70	0	0	0.01	23.8	−6.4
Ben Pearson Midfielder	11	0	0	–	21.5	–
Junior Tchamadeu Defender	90	0	0	–	19.9	−14.1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nestory Irankunda Forward	28	1	0	0.02	60.0	–
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.8	+4.7
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder	71	0	0	–	41.8	+5.7
Vivaldo Forward	62	0	0	–	39.6	−2.7
Saba Goglichidze Defender	90	0	0	0.13	36.8	−7.5
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder	90	0	1	0.06	35.3	−1.9
Stephen Mfuni Defender	86	0	0	0.37	33.4	−2.0
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	11	0	0	–	32.4	–
Imrân Louza Midfielder	86	0	0	0.72	30.2	−6.2
Edoardo Bove Midfielder	11	0	0	–	29.7	–
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	29.6	−11.2
Marc Bola Defender	90	0	0	0.01	26.3	−4.3
Tom Ince Midfielder	71	0	0	0.39	25.8	−15.9
Pierre Ekwah Midfielder	19	0	0	–	12.9	–
James Abankwah Defender	90	0	0	–	8.9	−27.0