Africa Cup of Nations 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Nigeria 3–2 Tunisia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Nigeria favourites at 56%.

Nigeria won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ademola Lookman, 78.0 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Hannibal Mejbri +32.4, Ademola Lookman +27.2, Wilfred Ndidi +22.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

23 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Tanzania Africa Cup of Nations
16 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Egypt International Friendlies

23 Dec 2025	W 3–1	v Uganda Africa Cup of Nations
18 Dec 2025	W 2–1	v Botswana International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Brazil International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025	W 3–2	v Jordan International Friendlies
12 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Mauritania International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Chidozie Awaziem Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Ademola Lookman Forward	89	1	2	0.62	78.0	+27.2
Victor Osimhen Forward	90	1	1	0.96	68.0	+12.4
Wilfred Ndidi Midfielder	90	1	0	0.12	67.6	+22.6
Onyemaechi Bruno Defender	90	0	0	–	57.9	–
Calvin Bassey Defender	90	0	0	–	56.3	+2.9
Akor Adams Forward	79	0	0	0.23	52.9	+6.8
Frank Onyeka Midfielder	79	0	0	0.05	50.1	−1.3
Alex Iwobi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.1	−2.2
Chidera Ejuke Forward	11	0	0	0.07	48.5	–
Semi Ajayi Defender	90	0	0	0.03	47.9	+7.6
Moses Simon Forward	11	0	0	–	45.7	–
Bright Osayi-Samuel Defender	90	0	0	0.06	42.6	+3.9
Stanley Nwabali Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	35.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder	90	0	1	0.03	77.8	+32.4
Sebastian Tounekti Forward	29	0	0	0.01	70.9	–
Ali Abdi Defender	90	1	0	0.78	70.4	+18.1
Ferjani Sassi Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	55.5	–
Dylan Bronn Defender	90	0	0	–	53.7	+4.4
Ellyes Skhiri Midfielder	90	0	0	–	53.6	+5.8
Montassar Talbi Defender	90	1	0	0.05	53.1	+2.9
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane Midfielder	61	0	0	–	47.6	–
Yan Valery Defender	90	0	0	–	45.6	+6.1
Elias Achouri Midfielder	75	0	0	–	42.7	−3.1
Hazem Mastouri Forward	90	0	0	–	40.7	−5.8
Aymen Dahmen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	35.9	−7.8
Ismael Gharbi Midfielder	15	0	0	0.10	35.1	–